The invention discloses a water bloom prediction method based on a space-
time sequence hybrid model, and belongs to the technical field of
water environment prediction. The water bloom prediction method comprises the following steps: firstly, extracting a large-scale nonlinear trend term of water bloom spatio-temporal data based on a
deep belief network; establishing a space weight matrix based onthe geographic positions of the multivariate space-time meteorological monitoring points; then extracting a small-scale residual term and carrying out modeling again; superposing the large-scale nonlinear trend term prediction value and the small-scale residual term prediction value, and obtaining a meteorological prediction value of the target
water area according to an inverse distance weighteddifference method; and using ANFIS fusion to predict the
water quality and meteorological data of the target
water area. According to the method, the number of influence factors of water bloom
outbreak is increased, so that the result of water bloom modeling prediction is more accurate, and the influence effect of the surrounding
water area on the target water area can be reflected more truly. The method is high in applicability, can be used under the condition of bloom space-
time sequence data of different water areas, is suitable for predicting bloom
outbreak under different water qualitiesand weather conditions, and has universal applicability.