The invention discloses a public bicycle
renting forecasting method based on multi-
source data fusion. According to the method, historical data about public bicycle
renting / returning records, weather, temperature, holidays, festivals and the like are cleaned and preprocessed, and training datasets are acquired; the datasets are classified with a clustering
algorithm, and different
renting modes of public bicycles are divided; the classified datasets are used to establish a Bayesian classifier used for forecasting the renting
modes according to conditions of holidays, festivals, weather and
air temperature of one day in the future; a self-adaptive particle swarm neural
network model corresponding to each mode is trained for different
modes of datasets respectively; finally, the renting mode of one day is forecasted by the aid of the Bayesian classifier, a corresponding particle swarm neural
network model is selected to forecast the renting law of public bicycles. The forecasting accuracy is high, the operation speed is high, reference basis is provided for bicycle renting and returning by a user, the
duration time of the unbalanced state of a public bicycle
station is shortened, and the users' satisfaction is improved.