The invention discloses a short-term
impact load prediction method based on a two-layer
decomposition technology. The short-term
impact load prediction method comprises the following steps of obtaining
impact load historical data and performing
equalization preprocessing on the data; decomposing the preprocessed impact load historical data into a plurality of discrete
modal components through a variable mode, and recording the discrete
modal components as IMFn, where n is a serial number of the discrete
modal components; performing secondary
decomposition on the component with the highest frequency in the discrete modal components by
singular spectrum analysis to obtain a plurality of sub-sequences; constructing an
extreme learning machine neural network prediction model based on
whale algorithm optimization; inputting the components except the component with the highest frequency in the discrete modal components and a sub-sequence obtained by secondary
decomposition into an
extreme learning machine neural network prediction model based on
whale algorithm optimization; and superposing prediction values output by the
extreme learning machine neural network prediction model based onwhale
algorithm optimization to obtain an actual prediction result. According to the method, the influence of nonlinear characteristics in the impact load is overcome, and the prediction precision iseffectively improved.