The invention discloses a risk monitoring method for a
physical protection system of a key infrastructure, belonging to the field of key
infrastructure security. The invention establishes a risk analysis model for a risk
analysis method of a
physical protection system and carries out risk monitoring, and the steps are as follows: modularization analysis of
physical protection system rules, analysis of enemy intrusion information, analysis of intrusion detection rules, analysis of reaction force rules, analysis of management personnel rules, establishment of risk monitoring
knowledge base, andestablishment of risk interactive simulator. The method can dynamically establish a physical
protection system risk monitoring model (state, conversion and event) and an interaction modeling function(external event and internal event interaction) between physical
protection system entities, thereby completing that risk monitoring of the key infrastructure. The risk monitoring method effectively integrates the physical
protection system and its subsystems, and associates all the staff involved in the physical protection system for collaborative deduction, evaluates the
weakness of the procedures, and improves the effectiveness of the
drill procedures.