The invention belongs to the field of power
system reliability
estimation, and relates to a method for estimating the reliability of an electric
distribution system containing distributive
wind power, photovoltaic and
energy storage devices. The method comprises the following steps of: (1) acquiring configuration parameters of the electric
distribution system; (2) forming a fault
result list; (3) generating an
energy storage charging and discharging state periodic
list; (4) obtaining a normal
running time TTF according to the
fault rate of elements; (5) finding out an element which has TTFmin; (6) obtaining a fault time TTR according to the
repair rate of the element, and calculating an
energy storage state at the TTFmin moment; (7) searching the fault
result list to determine a power failure situation of a load point in a non island area; (8) for an island area, calculating a draught fan real-time value, a photovoltaic real-time value and a load real-time value; (9) performing load attenuation on each island and recording the power failure situation of the load point in the island; (10) calculating the
state variation of the energy storage of the island; (11) generating novel
running time for the element and boosting a
simulation clock to TTFmin+TTR; (12) searching for an element which is faulted at first again, and repeating the step (12) if the fault moment is less than the
simulation clock, and if the fault moment is not less than the
simulation clock, executing the step (13); and (13) judging whether the simulation clock is equal to a scheduled time length, and returning to the step (6) if the simulation clock is not equal to a scheduled time length; and if the simulation clock is equal to a scheduled time length, calculating a reliability index. By the method, the reliability level of the
distribution system containing the distributive
wind power, photovoltaic and energy storage devices can be estimated quantitatively.