The invention provides a source item release inversion and
diffusion prediction method based on an integrated
atmospheric diffusion model, and the method comprises the steps: 1, integrating three
atmospheric diffusion models: CFD, Aermod and Calpuff, and enabling the three
atmospheric diffusion models to be used for the analog calculation of different scales; 2, based on the concept of a
smoke plume emergency planning area, carrying out modeling in advance by independently adopting three atmospheric
diffusion models including CFD, Aerod and Calpuff for a near area, namely, an inner area of 5 km and an outer area of 10 km, of the
nuclear power plant; 3, simultaneously storing various typical
wind field calculations, various accident source items and release rules thereof, and concentrationchange rules monitored or simulated at feature positions in various accident scenes in a
database; and step 4, when a radioactive leakage accident occurs, automatically inverting a release position and an accident type according to a concentration change rule at the characteristic position, quickly calculating a
diffusion direction, a diffusion range and a severity degree of future
pollution basedon real-time weather forecast information, assisting a
decision maker to directionally issue an early warning in advance, and making an
emergency response scheme.