The invention discloses a power
distribution system probability reliability assessing method based on an analytical method. The method comprises the steps that a given power distribution network is partitioned into a fault area, an isolation area, a gapless island area and an influence-free area are classified, a fault mode
impact analysis sheet base is established, and parameters are initialized; a stimulation
clock is initialized, a random number is generated, the minimum non-failure
operation time is obtained according to
failure rate parameters of all element state models, the fault isolation time and the load band transferring time are worked out, and the stimulation
clock is pushed; the fault mode
impact analysis sheet base is inquired, classifications of all cells are determined, whether an island is formed or not is judged, and different methods are adopted for
processing the island area and the non-island area; the state sample of an
energy storage device is established according to the
energy storage device electrical charge state probability distribution obtained through the probability reliability calculating method; distribution probabilities of single-time fault indexes of load points are overlapped, and the probability reliability indexes of the loads and the
system are calculated. The
simulation speed is increased while certain calculation precision is ensured, and the
power grid situation is comprehensively reflected.