The invention provides an air quality fast
traceability forecast method based on a Lagrangian transportation model. The method comprises the steps that a mesoscale
weather forecasting mode is used to simulate the meteorological field of a simulated area; according to the meteorological field requirements of the Lagrangian transportation model, key elements, which are output by a meteorological
field simulation system, of the meteorological field are extracted, and the
data format is converted; basic parameters of the Lagrangian transportation model are set; the space-time probability distribution of released particles in the meteorological field is calculated through the Lagrangian transportation model, and a particle probability distribution
database is built; the space-time probability distribution of the released particles and a
pollution source
list in the simulated area are combined to calculate the
potential source contribution distribution of pollutants; and finally, statistical
simulation is carried out on the calculated
pollutant concentration and the contribution of each industry to the
pollutant concentration in the
pollutant list. According to the invention, the
air pollution source of an area and a city can be analyzed and forecasted, and the identification of the key area of
pollution contribution and quick response demonstration of and
pollution emission reduction measures can be realized.