The invention provides a power transformation equipment
fault rate prediction method and
system, equipment and a readable storage medium. The power transformation equipment
fault rate prediction method comprises the steps: collecting the historical
fault rate statistical data of power transformation equipment, and building a Weibull distribution fault
rate function with the fault rate as a dependent variable and the time as an independent variable; collecting substation
equipment state evaluation data, and establishing an equipment
health index-based fault rate model by taking the fault rate as a dependent variable and the substation equipment
health index as an independent variable; and configuring a function relationship between the equipment
health index and the average
operation time,performing
simulation training on the comprehensive prediction model by taking historical statistical data of the power transformation equipment as a sample, solving to-be-estimated parameters, and finally obtaining the comprehensive prediction model. According to the power transformation equipment fault rate prediction method,
data information such as online
monitoring data, daily maintenance data and routine
test data of the power transformation equipment is combined, and the
equipment state condition is comprehensively reflected, and the development requirement of state maintenance of a current power
system is met, and the fault rate of the power transformation equipment can be accurately predicted.