The invention discloses a
coal-fired boiler
exhaust gas temperature prediction method and
system based on a LightGBM and a
random search method, and solves the problems that an existing neural
network model is liable to fall into a local minimum value and is liable to over-fit, and a
support vector machine model is not suitable for
large sample learning. The method comprises the steps of collecting historical operation data, performing data cleaning and normalization, performing
feature selection according to
mutual information entropy, constructing a model by adopting a LightGBM
algorithm, optimizing hyper-parameters by adopting a
random search algorithm, and obtaining an optimal model for
verification application. According to the method, the LightGBM and the
random search algorithm are adopted to establish and optimize the prediction model, the
overfitting phenomenon is effectively prevented, the model generalization ability is excellent, a
large sample learning strategy is supported, training is more efficient, the calculation speed is higher, lower model deviation can be achieved, meanwhile, the
random search algorithm is combined, an optimal hyper-parameter combination is found, and the prediction accuracy is improved. The precision of the model is further improved, and a high-performance
coal-fired boiler
exhaust gas temperature prediction model is obtained.