The invention discloses a method for predicting industrial
sewage inflow based on an ARIMA model. The method comprises the following steps: analyzing initial
time series data to meet a requirement onARIMA model establishment; preprocessing abnormal data by eliminating, filling and the like; removing
data noise through
moving average filtering; by a unit root testing method, performing ADF testingon the stability of a
time series; analyzing and verifying the non-randomness through an autocorrelation coefficient; preliminarily determinating an autoregressive and
moving average order of the ARIMA (p, d, q) model, and then performing order determination on the model through combination with an AIC information criterion; optimizing
model parameters by a
least squares method; finally, testinga residual and evaluating a
simulation result to determine a final prediction model. Acquired
sewage inflow data are determined, and the obtained prediction model is used for predicting
test data, andan output of the model is a prediction result of the
sewage inflow. By the method, the model is succinct, the fitting effect of the prediction model is very good, and the precision is high.