The invention, which relates to the field of meteorological element forecasting in the near-
ground layer, discloses a refined meteorological element forecasting
system of a near-
ground layer and a forecasting method thereof. Different values of
weather forecasting modes are integrated, coupled, and optimized to realize rapid cycle
data assimilation. A forecasting area is designed and real-time dynamic refined near-ground meteorological element forecasting of an area and a
single point under any
landform is realized. The refined meteorological element forecasting
system comprises a data downloading subsystem, a mesoscale
weather forecasting mode subsystem, a three-dimensional variational assimilation subsystem, a CALMET small-scale meteorological model subsystem and a post-
processing subsystem. In addition, the method includes: downloading grid data as well as conventional and unconventional meteorological
observation data of the forecasting
system; carrying out
quality control and WRF mode pre-
processing; carrying out rapid cycle
data assimilation to obtain an optimized atmospheric initial field; carrying out area and single-point forecasting; acquiring an initial guess field and an underlying surface
static field; carrying out
downscaling forecasting based on a micro-topographic dynamics effect to obtain forecasting results of the near-
ground layer at different heights; and carrying out post
processing to obtain a final chart and a statistical result for outputting and displaying.