The invention discloses a
voltage quality
probability estimation method for a droop control type island
microgrid, which comprises the following steps: firstly, establishing a deterministic power flowcalculation model for the droop control island
microgrid; and then, calculating by means of a
correlation coefficient matrix rho of the node injection power to obtain a
correlation coefficient rho0 of the corresponding standard normal distribution vector; generating
independent point-column matrices Un*M, which are uniformly distributed, obtaining a random variable matrix Yn*M of the independentstandard normal distribution by means of the
independent point-column matrix Un*M according to a principle of
equal probability conversion; converting Yn*M into a standard normal distribution sequencematrix Zn*M with a
correlation coefficient matrix of rho0; converting Zn*M into a sample matrix Xn*M which, with the correlation coefficient equal to rho, submits to the same distribution type as thenode injection power; and using the Newton-Raphson method to carry out resolution and probability statistics on the sample matrix Xn*M to obtain
voltage quality probability indexes of node
voltage mean, standard deviation, out-of-limit rate, maximum value and the like. The voltage quality
probability estimation method for the droop control type island
microgrid in the present invention solves theproblem that the voltage quality
probability estimation of the droop control island microgrid is difficult to implement in the prior art.