The invention relates to a method for predicting short-term air
traffic flow based on real-time
radar and flight information, which pertains to emulation of computers. On the basis of traditional prediction, real-time
radar data and weather information are brought in; the
radar data are directly led from an ATC
system and the flight information and the weather information are led from an AFTN network. Corresponding flight models are set up according to different plane types; a flight
route and specified cruising speed are obtained from a
flight plan; time and speed of flying each way point, as well as when and where to pass through what controlled areas, are predicted roughly. After a plane takes off, the real-time radar data are used for amending existing prediction. During the whole way of flight, relevant upper wind data are brought in to judge the influence of wind on the flight and amend relevant flight models. A
system is provided with a
processing server of the flight information and weather, a
processing server of the radar data, a
processing server of the flow, a
database and a display terminal. The invention greatly promotes
correctness and reliability of flow prediction by carrying out data exchanging through
ethernet network.