The invention provides a method for generating a long-term
maintenance strategy of an electric
distribution system in view of
ageing properties of an element. The method comprises the following steps of: step 1, collecting information to form a maintenance basic
database for electric distribution; step 2, establishing a long-term maintenance optimizing model of the electric
distribution system; and step 3, calling the maintenance basic
database formed in the step 1, substituting the maintenance basic
database into the long-term maintenance optimizing model of the electric
distribution system in the step 2, and solving by using a
branch-and-bound method to obtain the long-term
maintenance strategy of the electric distribution
system in view of the
ageing properties of the element. From a view point of the electric distribution
system, based on a time-variation
ageing model of
transformer and breaker equipment, the method provided by the invention can be used as a support of an electric distribution automatic
system to effectively establish the long-term
maintenance strategy of the electric distribution system by taking a minimum sum of a maintenance cost in a maintenance period and a cost caused by faults as a target function, considering losses to users and
electric power companies which are caused when the equipment is stopped in the process of maintaining, and comprehensively considering the influence of the maintenance on the improvement of a
failure rate of the equipment and the reliability of the system.