The invention discloses a
tropical cyclone path forecasting method based on grid
big data statistical method, which comprises the following steps: dividing the important sea area where the
tropical cyclone path appears or occurs into grids according to
longitude and
latitude with one degree as step length, and counting the occurrence frequency and distribution of all
tropical cyclone path nodes; Select the node before the tropical
cyclone path enters the 24, 48 or 72 hour warning line as the starting point, filter the large data passing through the grid where the starting point is located, andcount the historical correlation data of all historical tropical
cyclone tracks at the point, the former node and the latter node. The main factors that determine the track of tropical
cyclone are analyzed and screened, As the forecast parameters, the probability distribution of the forecast parameters from the node before the start point to the start point, and from the node after the start point to the start point in the
big data is calculated, and the statistical forecast model of the tropical cyclone track node based on the
big data is established, and forecasting and early warning of thetropical cyclone path are carried out according to the forecast model.