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38results about How to "Short forecast time" patented technology

Neural network method for performing short-term earthquake prediction by using earthquake parameters

The invention discloses a neural network method for performing short-term earthquake prediction by using earthquake parameters, which is a method for predicting earthquakes by using regression analysis and neural network combined technology and comprises: (1) determining a region to be studied; 2) collecting and preprocessing earthquake catalogues; 3) acquiring the earthquake parameters and time varying parameters by using the earthquake catalogues; 4) sorting information; 5) performing regression analysis; 6) performing neural network simulation; and 7) computing earthquake magnitudes of predicted earthquakes. The method has the advantages that: regional short-term earthquake prediction can be realized and the prediction time is no more than 6 months; earthquake magnitude quantization prediction can be realized, the computing result is stable and the prediction precision is high; the maneuverability and practicality are high; and the regional short-term earthquake prediction result can be used to provide service for 'disaster prevention and reduction', and the social and economic benefits are obvious.
Owner:SOUTHEAST UNIV

Vehicle position information prediction method based on Online-WSVR algorithm

The invention discloses a vehicle position information prediction method based on the Online-WSVR algorithm. The method includes the steps that 1, driving state information of a vehicle is collected in real time through an integrated navigation system in the vehicle; 2, modeling is carried out with the Online-WSVR algorithm according to the driving state information, in a previous period of time, of the vehicle, and weights are distributed to data at all time points so that the data can make different contributions to the modeling coefficient and accuracy can be improved; 3, position information, at the next moment, of the vehicle is predicted in real time with an Online-WSVR modeling function according to the current driving state information, wherein if current GPS signals are valid, the predicted longitude and latitude information at the next moment is erased, and if the current GPS signals are invalid, the longitude and latitude information, at the next moment, of the vehicle is predicted with the Online-WSVR algorithm and written into a training set for modeling to serve as a modeling sample for subsequent prediction. The method has the advantages that the principle is simple, the application range is wide, the positioning and prediction precision is high, the cost is low, portability is achieve, and reliability is good.
Owner:HUNAN UNIV

Method for predicting dynamic trajectory of moving object under fixed air route task

ActiveCN110532665AMeet the precision requirementsMeet online trajectory prediction time requirementsSpecial data processing applicationsPredictive methodsNetwork structure
The invention relates to the field of precise prediction of dynamic trajectories, in particular to a method for predicting a dynamic trajectory of a moving object under a fixed air route task. The method comprises the following steps of in an offline state, defining a trajectory deviation sequence with a position label, constructing a two-dimensional container sequence based on the trajectory deviation sequence, and storing historical trajectory deviation data of the moving object under the same course task in the two-dimensional container sequence; in an online state, retrieving a forward known trajectory deviation sequence of the prediction object in the two-dimensional container sequence to obtain a sample set; adopting an online ISO algorithm, using the sample set, and establishing a trajectory deviation prediction model of the moving object online based on an RBF neural network structure; predicting the future trajectory of the moving object by using the trajectory deviation prediction model of the moving object; and repeating the steps 2 and 3 until the task is completed. The problem that an existing moving object trajectory prediction model obtained offline fails when the environment dynamically changes can be solved, and meanwhile, the trajectory prediction precision is improved.
Owner:HARBIN ENG UNIV

Network flow prediction method for optimizing extreme learning machine by improving cuckoo search algorithm

The invention discloses a network flow prediction method for optimizing an extreme learning machine through an improved cuckoo search algorithm and relates to the technical field of intelligent computing. According to the network flow prediction method for optimizing an extreme learning machine through an improved cuckoo search algorithm smaller prediction error and shorter prediction time can berealized by adopting real number coding to represent each parasitic nest and adopting a snap-drive cuckoo search algorithm to perform parameter optimization on the extreme learning machine. Accordingto the method, the operations of allocating solutions to bird eggs, rejecting non-search, selecting worst parasitic nests through probability search, globally searching, updating Pm, updating Pa and the like by executing an snap-drive cuckoo search algorithm are performed; the algorithm is high in optimization capacity, low in calculation complexity, high in calculation speed and convergence speed, capable of conducting global search and capable of jumping out of a local optimal solution can be known.
Owner:WUHAN FIBERHOME TECHNICAL SERVICES CO LTD +2

Multi-step wind power forecasting method based on singular spectrum analysis and locality sensitive hashing

ActiveCN107895206AThe physical meaning of the components is clearShort forecast timeForecastingEngineeringLocality-sensitive hashing
The invention discloses a multi-step wind power forecasting method based on singular spectrum analysis and locality sensitive hashing. The method is charactierzed by decomposing historical wind powerdata of a wind power plant into two independent components through singular spectrum analysis, the independent components being a low-frequency average trend component for reflecting wind energy overall change trend and a high-frequency fluctuation component for reflecting intermittency and fluctuation of wind respectively; reconstructing the two components in a phase space to obtain an average trend section and a fluctuation component section; and finding similar average trend sections of an average trend section to be forecasted through locality sensitive hashing, and carrying out locality predication. To prevent accumulated errors brought by separate forecast of each component and fixed error brought by forecast of only one component, the forecast input is combination of the similar average trend sections and corresponding fluctuation component sections, and finally, a prediction result of wind power output power is obtained. The method is clear in physical significance in wind power plant generation power prediction, short in prediction time and accurate and stable in prediction results; and the prediction results do not rely on prior knowledge of users.
Owner:SOUTH CHINA UNIV OF TECH

Product sale prediction method based on support vector machine model with parameter optimization

The invention relates to a product sale prediction method based on a support vector machine model with parameter optimization. The method is characterized by including the following steps: S1, selecting a kernel function of the support vector machine; S2, adopting a grid search method to optimize predetermined parameters in the kernel function in S1; S3, establishing a prediction model; and S4, predicting a product sale trend, and applying historical product sales data to the prediction model in S3 to obtain a prediction result of product sale. The method provided by the invention greatly improves precision of sale prediction through a machine learning method, the SVM prediction model is short in prediction time, high in prediction precision and strong in robustness, avoids the circumstance that part of nonlinear models are easy to fall in the defects of local minimums and slow convergence rate, and thus the prediction model based on SVM optimization is effective and feasible. The prediction method provided by the invention overcomes the defects of poor precision and low calculation efficiency in traditional sale prediction, can provide a relatively accurate sale prediction reference for a decision-making level, and has good application value.
Owner:UNIV OF SHANGHAI FOR SCI & TECH

Internet event propagation outbreak prediction method and device, electronic equipment and medium

The invention provides an internet event propagation outbreak prediction method and device, electronic equipment and a medium. The method comprises the following steps: setting a first media matrix; merging the Internet events according to minutes to obtain a plurality of event groups; monitoring each event group mode, wherein the modes comprise hot spots and non-hot spots; monitoring the minute propagation quantity of the hotspot mode event group and a second media matrix; wherein a time point when a speech center point appears and the same number of identifiers of the second media matrix andthe first media matrix reaches a second threshold value is a prediction starting point; obtaining a fast trend curve and a slow trend curve of the non-hotspot mode event group through the minute propagation quantity; monitoring minute propagation quantity and a third media matrix; wherein when the fast trend curve exceeds the set time of the slow trend curve, a speech center point appears and thesame number of identifiers of the third media matrix and the first media matrix reaches a fourth threshold value, the time point at the moment is a prediction starting point; and predicting the timeperiod of the event group from the prediction starting point to exponential-level outbreak through the prediction model. Prediction before outbreak is carried out.
Owner:北京智慧星光信息技术有限公司

Industrial high-order dynamic process soft measurement method based on multi-hidden-layer weighted dynamic model

The invention discloses an industrial high-order dynamic process soft measurement method based on a multi-hidden-layer weighted dynamic model. According to the method, a sliding window is introduced,and a multi-hidden-layer dynamic model is established in each sliding window for each group of online samples, so the local autocorrelation of data in a hidden space and the high-order dynamic relation of hidden variables in time sequence are fully considered, and the description of the data can be more accurate; in combination with a support vector data description method, a global weight of an online sample is calculated, and the multi-hidden-layer weighted dynamic model is established; after the parameters of the model are obtained, a locally weighted linear regression model is establishedso as to obtain a quality variable estimation value of the online sample.
Owner:CHINA JILIANG UNIV

Internet event propagation outbreak prediction method, device, electronic equipment and medium

The invention provides an internet event propagation outbreak prediction method and device, electronic equipment and a medium. The method comprises the following steps: setting a first media matrix; merging the Internet events according to minutes to obtain a plurality of event groups; monitoring each event group mode, wherein the modes comprise hot spots and non-hot spots; monitoring the minute propagation quantity of the hotspot mode event group and a second media matrix; wherein a time point when a speech center point appears and the same number of identifiers of the second media matrix andthe first media matrix reaches a second threshold value is a prediction starting point; obtaining a fast trend curve and a slow trend curve of the non-hotspot mode event group through the minute propagation quantity; monitoring minute propagation quantity and a third media matrix; wherein when the fast trend curve exceeds the set time of the slow trend curve, a speech center point appears and thesame number of identifiers of the third media matrix and the first media matrix reaches a fourth threshold value, the time point at the moment is a prediction starting point; and predicting the timeperiod of the event group from the prediction starting point to exponential-level outbreak through the prediction model. Prediction before outbreak is carried out.
Owner:北京智慧星光信息技术有限公司

Hydraulic slide valve internal leakage detection method based on acoustic emission technology

The invention belongs to the technical field of hydraulic slide valve internal leakage detection methods, and particularly relates to a hydraulic slide valve internal leakage detection method based onan acoustic emission technology. The method comprises the steps: collecting hydraulic slide valve internal leakage detection experiment data, carrying out wavelet packet decomposition on acoustic emission signals, serving obtained sub-band energy characteristics as input, serving the corresponding slide valve state and internal leakage amount as output, and optimizing parameters of a radial basiskernel function; training an optimization detection model; verifying the accuracy of a classification model; Verifying the accuracy of a regression analysis model. According to the hydraulic slide valve internal leakage detection method based on the acoustic emission technology, wavelet packet decomposition is carried out on the acoustic emission signals of a normal slide valve and an internal leakage slide valve, energy characteristics of all sub-bands are extracted, and a hydraulic slide valve internal leakage diagnosis database is constructed; according to the hydraulic slide valve internal leakage detection method based on the acoustic emission technology, the accuracy is higher, the prediction time is shorter, and the efficiency of non-intrusive detection of hydraulic slide valve internal leakage is effectively improved.
Owner:NAVAL UNIV OF ENG PLA
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