Internet event propagation outbreak prediction method and device, electronic equipment and medium

Abstract

The invention provides an internet event propagation outbreak prediction method and device, electronic equipment and a medium. The method comprises the following steps: setting a first media matrix; merging the Internet events according to minutes to obtain a plurality of event groups; monitoring each event group mode, wherein the modes comprise hot spots and non-hot spots; monitoring the minute propagation quantity of the hotspot mode event group and a second media matrix; wherein a time point when a speech center point appears and the same number of identifiers of the second media matrix andthe first media matrix reaches a second threshold value is a prediction starting point; obtaining a fast trend curve and a slow trend curve of the non-hotspot mode event group through the minute propagation quantity; monitoring minute propagation quantity and a third media matrix; wherein when the fast trend curve exceeds the set time of the slow trend curve, a speech center point appears and thesame number of identifiers of the third media matrix and the first media matrix reaches a fourth threshold value, the time point at the moment is a prediction starting point; and predicting the timeperiod of the event group from the prediction starting point to exponential-level outbreak through the prediction model. Prediction before outbreak is carried out.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of data mining, and more specifically, to a method, device, electronic equipment, and computer-readable storage medium for predicting Internet event propagation outbreaks. Background technique [0002] With the development of the information retrieval and data mining industry, there are more and more information and events on the Internet, and events that detonate public opinion are more and more likely to occur, so if we can know which events will explode within a day or within a few hours , you can plan in advance and guide in advance, and dispel the energy of Internet public opinion events. [0003] Some of the existing public opinion predictions are based on the slope of the burst propagation. In the process of Internet event propagation, only rely on the propagation burst calculated by the burst slope and accumulate to a certain heat to calculate the hotspots. There is a lack of a scientific fac...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] Some of the existing public opinion predictions are based on the laws of similar historical events, but largely ignore the characteristics and laws of Internet communication

Images