The invention discloses a power
distribution transformer area
electricity sales accurate prediction method based on a
modal GRU
learning network, which comprises the following steps of: S1, obtaininghistorical data of
electricity sales of a power
distribution transformer area, and dividing the historical data into a
test set and a
training set; S2, preprocessing the data, complementing the sampling time points to ensure continuity of the sampling time points, and filling up
missing data of the sampling points by utilizing an average interpolation method; S3, determining an optimal
modal number K of
variational mode decomposition (VMD) according to the
center frequency of each
modal component by using an experimental method; S4, carrying out VMD
decomposition on the historical data of theelectricity sales of the
transformer area, and respectively extracting a decomposed low-frequency modal component and a decomposed high-frequency modal component; S5, predicting a low-frequency mode and a high-frequency mode respectively by using a Prophet prediction model and a GRU
learning network; and S6, reconstructing the prediction result of each mode, and obtaining a predicted value of theelectricity sales of the
transformer area. The method can improve the prediction precision of the
electricity sales of the
transformer area, and can provide theoretical and practical support for the precise prediction and management of the electricity sales of the transformer area.