The invention discloses a method for analyzing the ice and climate relationship on the basis of the grey MLR (Multiple
Linear Regression), which comprises the following steps of: a step 1 of acquiring
microclimate data comprising the environment
humidity, the environment
wind speed and the environment temperature and wire tensile force by a
power transmission line online
monitoring system and converting the
microclimate data into an actual
ice thickness value by a theories calculation model according to the wire tensile force; a step 2 of selecting effective data and applying a grey GM (1, 1) model construction to forecast the
microclimate data; and a step 3 of establishing an
ice thickness model by applying a MLR
analysis method according to the selected effective data, forecasting the
ice thickness on the basis of the microclimate GM (1,1) model construction and establishing an ice thickness forecasting model of the grey multiple
regression analysis. The invention solves the problems that in the prior art, an equation
system shows morbidness due to accumulation and subtraction of the data, the parameter
estimation shows
instability and the like. Detailed information such as the weight variation before and after a monitored
power transmission line is iced, the inclination angle of an insulator string, the environment temperature and
humidity, the
wind speed and the like can be provided; and the ice thickness of the
power transmission line is obtained by calculation according to field acquisition information.