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33 results about "Bayesian risk" patented technology

Minimum Bayesian Risk Methods for Automatic Speech Recognition

ActiveUS20140303973A1Low word error rateSpeech recognitionHypothesisAlgorithm
A hypothesis space of a search graph may be determined. The hypothesis space may include n hypothesis-space transcriptions of an utterance, each selected from a search graph that includes t>n transcriptions of the utterance. An evidence space of the search graph may also be determined. The evidence space may include m evidence-space transcriptions of the utterance that are randomly selected from the search graph, where t>m. For each particular hypothesis-space transcription in the hypothesis space, an expected word error rate may be calculated by comparing the particular hypothesis-space transcription to each of the evidence-space transcriptions. Based on the expected word error rates, a lowest expected word error rate may be obtained, and the particular hypothesis-space transcription that is associated with the lowest expected word error rate may be provided.
Owner:GOOGLE LLC

Head-shoulder sequence image segmentation method based on double-pattern matching and edge thinning

The invention discloses a head-shoulder sequence image segmentation method based on double-pattern matching and edge thinning, and the method is carried out as per the following steps: step 1, determining a face position, namely, adopting the Bayesian risk decision to determine the face area by considering the distribution of the face on a color plane; step 2, determining the head-shoulder area, namely, considering the head-shoulder area as a combination of two rectangular areas, one as head rectangle and the other as shoulder rectangle, setting the width of the shoulder rectangle as three times of the width of the head rectangle, and finally determining the head rectangle through adopting two rectangular moving templates and taking the proportion falling in the two template areas as the matching standard; and step 3, edge thinning, namely, adopting the Canny edge detection operator to acquire the accurate contour of a moving object. The head-shoulder sequence image segmentation method has the benefits that the Bayesian risk decision mechanism is adopted to determine the face position, the double-pattern matching algorithm is adopted to further determine the head-shoulder area, and finally the edge thinning is conducted, as a result, the algorithm can efficiently segment the head-shoulder sequence.
Owner:XIAN UNIV OF TECH

Cost-sensitive incremental face recognition method based on information entropy selection

The invention provides a cost-sensitive incremental face recognition method based on information entropy selection. The cost-sensitive incremental face recognition method is composed of a deep convolutional neural network part, an information entropy-based sample selection part and a cost-sensitive sequential three-branch decision classification part. The information entropy is used for assessingthe information amount of the classification result of the face recognition sample, so that the system can automatically assess the unlabeled sample information amount, and samples with large information amount are selected for manual labeling; a face recognition problem is regarded as a sequential process of information granularity from coarse to fine by utilizing the thought of three sequentialdecisions sensitive to cost, each iterative loop added with a marked sample is used as a decision step of the three sequential decisions, and the minimum cost recognition effect of the sample in eachdecision step is given according to the minimum Bayesian risk principle.
Owner:NANJING UNIV

High-precision face recognition method for complex face recognition access control system

The invention discloses a high-precision face recognition method for a complex face recognition access control system, belonging to the field of face image processing. The method comprises the following steps: face vector normalization, cost-sensitive face feature dimension reduction and model prediction. The method adopts the cost-sensitive face feature dimension reduction to give different misclassification cost for the different kinds of misclassification in the access control system. The extracted features meet the smallest bayesian risk criteria, the discriminant ability of the extracted features is increased, and further the accuracy of recognition is increased. In addition, the cost-sensitive face feature dimension reduction has robustness to the noises existing in the access control system, imbalanced categories and different kinds of data distribution density, and the method has a higher use value.
Owner:江苏优利信科技有限公司

SKIP mode quickly selecting method based on Bayesian minimum hazard decision

The invention provides a SKIP mode quickly selecting method based on Bayesian minimum hazard decision. The SKIP mode quickly selecting method based on Bayesian minimum hazard decision comprises the concrete steps of taking the rate-distortion cost of the SKIP mode of a current coding unit as decision features to count and learn first four frames, and for different quantization parameters and different coding unit depths, performing non-parametric probability density estimation to obtain the conditional probability distribution of the decision features in an optimal SKIP mode and an optimal non-SKIP mode; based on the statistical information of online learning, utilizing a Bayesian minimum hazard model to discriminate the SKIP mode of surplus frames in advance. The SKIP mode quickly selecting method based on Bayesian minimum hazard decision can rapidly achieve SKIP mode discrimination under the condition of ensuring the coding performance, thereby skipping predictive coding mode computation, effectively reducing the coding complexity of an HEVC (high efficiency video coding) encoder and facilitating implementation of real-time application of the HEVC encoder.
Owner:SHANGHAI JIAO TONG UNIV

Bayesian network model used for cascade hydropower stations risk analysis and construction method

The invention relates to the field of water conservancy and hydropower engineering, and discloses a Bayesian network model used for cascade hydropower stations risk analysis and a construction method. Various risk factors of a cascade hydropower station are comprehensively considered. Strong theoretical and technical supports are provided for hydropower engineering risk identification and assessment. The construction method provided by the invention comprises the steps that a an engineering risk decomposition identification method based on the basic functions of safe operation is used to identify the function affecting risk of the cascade hydropower station; b all specific risk factors which affect the cascade hydropower station are comprehensively considered, and are defined as node variables to form a variable set; c the risk factors in the variable set are hierarchically filled in a table from high to low, so as to acquire a risk factor causal logic relationship hierarchy table; and d according to the causal relationship among the variables in the risk factor causal logic relationship hierarchy table, a single arrow is used to connect all variables into a directed acyclic graph to complete the construction of the Bayesian risk network model used for the cascade hydropower station.
Owner:POWERCHINA CHENGDU ENG

Cattle illness data analysis method and device

The embodiment of the invention provides a cattle illness data analysis method and device. The method concretely comprises the following steps: obtaining state index data representing cattle health states; selecting sample data, performing sample training of selected sample data according to an initialized cost matrix based on illness classification in advance and a multi-classification Bayesian process classifier based on cost sensibility, and obtaining the illness classification model of training samples; and according to the obtained state index data, the cost matrix and the training model, calculating the illness classification probability of the cattle to be detected and outputting the illness classification probability of the cattle to be detected. The method provided by the embodiment of the invention provides a cost-sensitive multi-classification Bayesian and Gaussian process to process the calculation of the illness classification probability of cattle, perform calculation of the state index states of the cattle and output a plurality of illness classification probabilities, and misjudgement cost factors are added to overcome the defects that a current discriminating method only can obtain general low misjudgement rate and only can output single classification results.
Owner:SHANGHAI ZHONGXIN INFORMATION DEV

Key risk factor and key risk transfer path identification method of cascade hydropower stations based on Bayesian risk network

The invention discloses a key risk factor and key risk transfer path identification method of cascade hydropower stations based on the Bayesian risk network, and relates to the field of hydraulic andhydroelectric engineering. The risk of the cascade hydropower stations is characterized by a common-cause failure problem, the advantage of the Bayesian network in solving the common-cause failure problem is utilized, and disadvantages of the traditional fault, event and decision trees in the aspect of risk analysis of hydroelectric engineering are overcome. On the basis of a Bayesian risk networkmodel of the cascade hydropower station, the key risk factor and key risk transfer path identification method is provided, and theoretical and method support for using the Bayesian network method ofthe cascade hydropower stations in risk identification and prevention is provided. The method is simple, clear and highly operable, and has significant application prospects in using the Bayesian network for risk identification and prevention in systems engineering as cascade hydroelectric engineering and civil engineering.
Owner:SICHUAN UNIV

Ultrasonic phased array method based on information fusion

The invention discloses an ultrasonic phased array method based on information fusion based on information fusion and belongs to an ultrasonic signal processing technology. The algorithm comprises a bitmap segmenting method and bayes estimation. The bitmap segmenting method comprises the following steps: extracting out medians, upper quartiles and lower quartiles of signals independently collected by each array element of an ultrasonic phased array probe in sequence, obtaining quartile dispersion, solving out elimination points and obtaining effective data fusion sets. Bayes estimation is established by virtue of the following steps: obtaining a characteristic function of each piece of effective data, solving out a decision function, obtaining a risk function, extracting the bayes risk of the decision function and obtaining most effective estimated values of parameters. The method disclosed by the invention can be used for improving the utilization rate of information collected by ultrasonic phased array elements, and obtaining more accurate and reliable description on a real environment.
Owner:CIVIL AVIATION UNIV OF CHINA

Image noise reducing method for Contourlet transform

InactiveCN1920881ATo achieve the purpose of image noise reductionEffective trackingImage enhancementPattern recognitionImage denoising
The invention relates to an image noise reduction method of Contourlet transformation region, wherein it comprises: translating the input image with noise; using Contourlet transformation to decompose said image at multiple sizes and directions, and in the Contourlet transformation region, using minimum Bayesian risk function to evaluate the Contourlet region factor; then processing Contourlet inverse transformation and inversed translating to obtain the noise reduced image; then repeating aforementioned steps, linearly averaging the noise reduced image, to obtain last noise reduced image. The invention can improve the quality of noise reduced image, to provide full and accurate target and background information, to be used in optical imaging, target detecting and safety detecting systems.
Owner:SHANGHAI UNIV

Multi-sensor damage networking monitoring method based on Bayesian risk function

The invention provides a multi-sensor damage networking monitoring method based on Bayesian risk function. The method includes the steps of firstly, selecting appropriate sensors; secondly, building the Bayesian risk function; thirdly, building a Bayesian risk function optimization equation, and searching for an optimal layout scheme; fourthly, performing sensor layout scheme quantitative analysis, and using detection rate and false alarm rate to quantify the advantages and disadvantages of the given sensor layout scheme; fifthly, performing sensor layout damage networking monitoring. By the arrangement, the method has the advantages that multi-sensor damage networking monitoring based on the Bayesian risk function is achieved, complex-structure damage signal effective extraction is achieved, and influence of complex-structure dimension and configuration on monitoring signal transmission and collection is lowered; limited resource distribution is optimized, system monitoring ability isincreased, and equipment whole life cycle cost is lowered; the multi-filed detection method is adopted, and the problems that the piezoelectric technology is greatly affected by the structure, the optical fiber technology cannot directly monitor cracks, and intelligent coating is high in false alarm rate are solved.
Owner:BEIHANG UNIV

Construction method of Bayesian risk network models of cascade reservoir group

The invention relates to the field of water conservancy and hydropower engineering, and discloses a construction method of Bayesian risk network models of a cascade reservoir group. Risk transmission factors of the cascade reservoir group are comprehensively considered, and powerful theoretical and technical support is provided for risk analysis and evaluation of the cascade reservoir group. The method comprises the following steps that firstly, cascade hydropower station Bayesian risk network models of different dam types are generalized by selecting high-level network nodes; secondly, a reservoir inflow flood node and a reservoir outflow flood node on the generalized cascade hydropower station Bayesian risk network model are set to be connection nodes between an upstream hydropower station and a downstream hydropower station which are adjacent to each other; thirdly, the generalized cascade hydropower station Bayesian risk network model serves as a basic unit, the reservoir outflow flood node of an upstream reservoir and the reservoir inflow flood node of a downstream reservoir are connected through a single arrow line according to the combination modes between the cascade reservoirs, and the Bayesian risk network models of the cascade reservoir group in different combination modes are formed.
Owner:POWERCHINA CHENGDU ENG

A Multi-Sensor Multi-Target Joint Detection, Tracking and Classification Method

The invention provides a multi-sensor multi-target joint detection, tracking and classification method, which is characterized in that the method comprises the following steps: S1, defining a new Bayesian risk given the initial value of the multi-target state; S2, predicting the multi-objective state under the condition of the category hypothesis in the category hypothesis set to obtain the priorstate distribution of the multi-objective; 3, under the condition of a class decision set, calculating a multi-objective posterior density at the time k to obtain a posterior multi-objective state distribution; S4, calculating multi-target detection loss, state estimation loss and classification loss under different decision conditions; S5: according to the detection loss, the state estimation loss and the classification loss, the multi-objective estimation and the classification optimal solution are obtained based on the minimum Bayesian risk criterion. This method is easy to implement and provides important technical support for multi-sensor networking environment sensing system.
Owner:SHANGHAI JIAO TONG UNIV

Voice marking quality determination method and device, equipment and computer-readable medium

InactiveCN110070854AImprove the efficiency of labeling quality inspectionCharacter and pattern recognitionSpeech recognitionSpeech identificationSpeech sound
The invention relates to a voice marking quality determination method and device, equipment and a computer-readable medium. The method comprises the steps of inputting a target audio file into a preset voice recognition model to obtain pre-recognized texts and a Bayesian risk value of the pre-recognized texts; acquiring marking process information of a marking worker in a marking process of the pre-recognized texts and historical marking information of the marking worker during marking of historical marked texts; on the basis of the Bayesian risk value, the marking process information and thehistorical marking information, determining the text reliability of marked texts obtained after the marking worker marks the pre-recognized texts; determining the marking quality of the marked texts according to the text credibility. According to the voice marking quality determination method and device, the equipment and the computer-readable medium, inspectors can be helped to pay attention to the marked texts which are more likely to be wrong, and therefore the efficiency of the whole quality detection of voice data marking is improved.
Owner:北京晴数智慧科技有限公司

An ultrasonic phased array nondestructive test method based on fractal

An ultrasonic phased array nondestructive test method based on fractal is disclosed. The method comprises following two parts: Bayesian information fusion algorithm and signal fractal processing. The Bayesian information fusion algorithm includes following steps of: taking each array element of a ultrasonic phased array probe, separately collecting a median, an upper quartile and a lower quartile in signals in sequence to obtain a quartile dispersion, solving an eliminative point to obtain an effective data fusion set, solving characteristic functions and decision functions of effective data to obtain a risk function, and extracting Bayesian risk of the decision functions to obtain optimal estimated values of parameters. The signal fractal processing includes following steps of: analyzing image fractal characteristics through a wavelet decomposition coefficient figure to determine a scale-free zone, calculating a fractal dimension, and determining whether a flaw exists and determining a flaw type according to the fractal dimension. Based on adoption of the Bayesian information fusion algorithm to improve the information utilization rate, the method adopts a fractal technology to process nonlinear modern signals so as to determine whether a flaw exists in a composite material and to determine a flaw type.
Owner:CIVIL AVIATION UNIV OF CHINA

Digital fire safety assessment and visual operation and maintenance method

The invention provides a digital fire safety assessment and visual operation and maintenance method, which meets the requirements of fire monitoring and early warning, and is characterized by comprising the following steps: S1, formulating a risk level and a quantitative range according to a Bayesian risk identification and analysis model; s2, environment index monitoring; wherein the monitoring comprises cable residual current monitoring, cable temperature monitoring or cracking quality monitoring, and when a corresponding index is monitored to exceed a preset standard, an early warning is initiated; s3, open fire monitoring and alarming; the multiple cameras simultaneously take frames and send pictures to the AI image recognition model, and the AI image recognition model carries out recognition and risk grading on open fire or smoke and fire in the pictures and feeds back a processing result to the monitoring background; when the AI image recognition model recognizes open fire, an adjacent fire-fighting spraying device is called according to the coordinates of the corresponding camera to carry out spraying and fire extinguishing.
Owner:GUANGZHOU VCMY TECH CO LTD

Computer-implemented methods and systems for optimal linear classification systems

A computer-implemented method for linear classification involves generating a data-driven likelihood ratio test based on a dual locus of likelihoods and principal eigenaxis components that contains Bayes' likelihood ratio and automatically generates the best linear decision boundary. A dual locus of likelihoods and principal eigenaxis components, formed by a locus of weighted extreme points, satisfies fundamental statistical laws for a linear classification system in statistical equilibrium and is the basis of an optimal linear classification system for which the eigenenergy and the Bayes' risk are minimized, so that the classification system achieves Bayes' error rate and exhibits optimal generalization performance. Linear classification systems can be linked with other such systems to perform multiclass linear classification and to fuse feature vectors from different data sources. Linear classification systems also provide a practical statistical gauge that measures data distribution overlap and Bayes' error rate.
Owner:REEVES DENISE

Offshore channel risk early warning method based on dynamic Bayesian network

The invention discloses an offshore channel risk early warning method based on a dynamic Bayesian network. The method comprises the following steps: identifying offshore channel risk influence factors and establishing a dynamic Bayesian risk early warning model; according to the method, main risk source factors influencing the safety of the offshore channel are systematically analyzed and counted according to the emergency of the offshore channel, and an offshore channel risk early warning model based on the dynamic Bayesian network is established; a risk early warning comparison model is carried out, the effectiveness and accuracy of the DBN model are verified, and the comparison result shows that the accuracy and the F value of the DBN model are better than those of the comparison model, which indicates that the offshore channel risk early warning model based on the DBN can accurately early warn the offshore channel risk condition; a sensitivity analysis method is applied to identify key influence factors influencing offshore channel risks, and related suggestions are provided for ship navigation according to a sensitivity analysis result.
Owner:ZHEJIANG SCI RES INST OF TRANSPORT

Voice annotation quality determination method, device, equipment and computer readable medium

ActiveCN110264996BImprove the efficiency of labeling quality inspectionCharacter and pattern recognitionSpeech recognitionSpeech soundProcess information
The present application relates to a method, device, equipment and computer-readable medium for determining the quality of speech annotation. The method includes inputting the target audio file into a preset speech recognition model to obtain the pre-recognized text and the Bayesian risk value of the pre-recognized text; obtaining the tagging process of the tagger during the tagging process of the pre-recognized text Information and the historical annotation information of the annotator when annotating the historical annotation text; based on the Bayesian risk value, the annotation process information and the historical annotation information, it is determined that the annotator marks the pre-identified text. The text credibility of the labeled text; determine the labeling quality of the labeled text according to the text credibility. The application can assist the acceptance checker to pay attention to the marked text that is more likely to make mistakes, thereby improving the efficiency of the quality inspection of the entire voice data mark.
Owner:BEIJING AISHU WISDOM TECH CO LTD

Identification method of key risk factors and risk transmission key path of cascade hydropower station based on Bayesian risk network

The invention discloses a method for identifying key risk factors and risk transfer key paths of cascade hydropower stations based on a Bayesian risk network, and relates to the field of water conservancy and hydropower engineering. The advantages in dealing with common cause failure problems solve the shortcomings of the traditional "three trees" (fault tree, event tree, and decision tree) in risk analysis of hydropower projects. Based on the Bayesian risk network model of cascade hydropower stations, an identification method for key risk factors and key paths of risk transfer is proposed, which provides theoretical and methodological support for applying the Bayesian risk network method of cascade hydropower stations to risk identification and prevention and control. The method is simple and clear, and has strong operability. It has an important application prospect in the risk identification and prevention and control of cascade hydropower projects and civil engineering similar system engineering using Bayesian networks.
Owner:SICHUAN UNIV

An Ultrasonic Phased Array Method Based on Information Fusion

The invention discloses an ultrasonic phased array method based on information fusion based on information fusion and belongs to an ultrasonic signal processing technology. The algorithm comprises a bitmap segmenting method and bayes estimation. The bitmap segmenting method comprises the following steps: extracting out medians, upper quartiles and lower quartiles of signals independently collected by each array element of an ultrasonic phased array probe in sequence, obtaining quartile dispersion, solving out elimination points and obtaining effective data fusion sets. Bayes estimation is established by virtue of the following steps: obtaining a characteristic function of each piece of effective data, solving out a decision function, obtaining a risk function, extracting the bayes risk of the decision function and obtaining most effective estimated values of parameters. The method disclosed by the invention can be used for improving the utilization rate of information collected by ultrasonic phased array elements, and obtaining more accurate and reliable description on a real environment.
Owner:CIVIL AVIATION UNIV OF CHINA

Voice annotation quality determining method and device, equipment and computer readable medium

ActiveCN110264996AImprove the efficiency of labeling quality inspectionCharacter and pattern recognitionSpeech recognitionData AnnotationSpeech identification
The invention relates to a voice annotation quality determining method and device, equipment and a computer readable medium. The voice annotation quality determining method comprises the steps that a target audio file is input into a preset voice recognition model to obtain a pre-recognition text and a Bayes risk value of the pre-recognition text; annotation process information of the pre-recognition text in the annotation process by annotation personnel and history annotation information when the annotation personnel annotates a history annotation text are obtained; based on the Bayes risk value, the annotation process information and the history annotation information to determine the text reliability of an annotated text obtained by annotating the pre-recognition text by the annotation personnel; and the annotation quality of the annotation text is determined according to the text reliability. According to the voice annotation quality determining method and device, the equipment and the computer readable medium, inspectors can be assisted to pay attention to annotation texts more likely to be incorrect, and thus the efficiency of the whole voice data annotation quality testing is improved.
Owner:北京晴数智慧科技有限公司

Text generation method and device, electronic equipment and medium

PendingCN114881008AImprove the problem of poor generation resultsNatural language translationCharacter and pattern recognitionEngineeringData mining
The invention discloses a text generation method and device, electronic equipment and a medium. The method comprises the steps that a text candidate set is obtained, the text candidate set comprises a plurality of candidate texts, and each candidate text is a text obtained after a to-be-processed text is processed; performing at least two times of screening method processing on the text candidate set by referring to a screening strategy of minimum Bayesian risk decoding to obtain a target text; wherein the screening methods are screening methods with different functions, the output of each screening is used as the input of the next screening method, the result of each screening output is determined based on the evaluation score of the screened candidate text, and the evaluation score of the screened candidate text is determined based on the evaluation index of the used screening method. According to the method, the obtained text candidate set is processed through the screening method at least twice, and the problem that the result generated by a given text generation model is poor can be solved.
Owner:BEIJING YOUZHUJU NETWORK TECH CO LTD

A Fast Selection Method of Skip Mode Based on Bayesian Minimal Risk Decision

The present invention provides a method for quickly selecting SKIP mode based on Bayesian minimum risk decision-making. The specific steps are: firstly, the rate-distortion cost of the SKIP mode of the current coding unit is used as the decision feature, and the first four frames are studied online statistically, and for different quantization parameters and different coding unit depths, the conditional probability distributions of the decision features when the SKIP mode and non-SKIP mode are most preferred are respectively obtained through non-parametric probability density estimation. Then based on the statistical information of online learning, the Bayesian risk minimum model is used to make early judgments on the SKIP mode of the remaining frames. This method can quickly determine the SKIP mode while ensuring the encoding performance, thereby skipping other unnecessary calculations of the predictive encoding mode, which can effectively reduce the encoding complexity of the HEVC encoder, and is conducive to the implementation of the HEVC encoder. real-time applications.
Owner:SHANGHAI JIAOTONG UNIV

Physical layer deception detection method based on deep reinforcement learning

PendingCN114845304AWith dynamic continuous selectionImplement dynamic continuous selectionNeural architecturesNeural learning methodsAlgorithmPhysical layer
The invention provides a physical layer spoofing detection method based on deep reinforcement learning, and mainly solves the problems that a dynamic unknown wireless environment, a channel model or parameters are difficult to obtain and a fixed detection threshold is difficult to accurately select in the existing physical layer spoofing detection method. The method comprises the following implementation steps: 1) establishing a spoofing attack scene, and extracting physical layer channel information between a receiving party and a transmitting party by a receiving party to represent physical layer fingerprint characteristics; 2) establishing a binary hypothesis test model; 3) constructing a state value according to the dynamic physical layer fingerprint features, selecting and constructing a behavior value according to a threshold value, and establishing a state-behavior-benefit triple by taking a Bayesian risk function as an instantaneous benefit function; and 4) based on a depth deterministic strategy gradient framework, designing a detection threshold dynamic selection method, and detecting a physical layer spoofing attack. According to the method, dynamic continuous selection of the detection threshold can be realized, the method has adaptivity to a dynamic unknown environment, and the physical layer spoofing attack can be effectively detected.
Owner:SOUTHEAST UNIV

A fractal-based ultrasonic phased array nondestructive testing method

An ultrasonic phased array nondestructive test method based on fractal is disclosed. The method comprises following two parts: Bayesian information fusion algorithm and signal fractal processing. The Bayesian information fusion algorithm includes following steps of: taking each array element of a ultrasonic phased array probe, separately collecting a median, an upper quartile and a lower quartile in signals in sequence to obtain a quartile dispersion, solving an eliminative point to obtain an effective data fusion set, solving characteristic functions and decision functions of effective data to obtain a risk function, and extracting Bayesian risk of the decision functions to obtain optimal estimated values of parameters. The signal fractal processing includes following steps of: analyzing image fractal characteristics through a wavelet decomposition coefficient figure to determine a scale-free zone, calculating a fractal dimension, and determining whether a flaw exists and determining a flaw type according to the fractal dimension. Based on adoption of the Bayesian information fusion algorithm to improve the information utilization rate, the method adopts a fractal technology to process nonlinear modern signals so as to determine whether a flaw exists in a composite material and to determine a flaw type.
Owner:CIVIL AVIATION UNIV OF CHINA

Project risk decomposition identification method based on safe operation basic function requirement

The invention relates to the field of project risk decomposition and identification, and discloses a project risk decomposition identification method based on a safe operation basic function requirement, wherein the method settles a problem of high difficulty in performing accurate risk identification and logical relation carding. The method comprises the steps of performing system decomposition on a complicated project system from a high grade to a low grade so that mutual independence and completeness of a lower sub-system and an upper parent system are realized; finding out a to-be-satisfied function requirement of each sub-system based on the safe operation basic function requirement; analyzing possible events which affect realization of the function requirement; performing causal reasoning on each possible event, and finding out a reasoning event of the possible event; and analyzing the result of each reasoning event. The project risk decomposition identification method is suitable for complicated systematical projects such as water power engineering and civil engineering. The project risk decomposition identification method has an important application prospect in risk identification and analysis aspects of the complicated systematical projects and can realize a Bayesian risk network for constructing a complicated systematical project.
Owner:POWERCHINA CHENGDU ENG

Construction Method of Bayesian Risk Network Model for Cascade Reservoir Group

The invention relates to the field of water conservancy and hydropower engineering, and discloses a construction method of Bayesian risk network models of a cascade reservoir group. Risk transmission factors of the cascade reservoir group are comprehensively considered, and powerful theoretical and technical support is provided for risk analysis and evaluation of the cascade reservoir group. The method comprises the following steps that firstly, cascade hydropower station Bayesian risk network models of different dam types are generalized by selecting high-level network nodes; secondly, a reservoir inflow flood node and a reservoir outflow flood node on the generalized cascade hydropower station Bayesian risk network model are set to be connection nodes between an upstream hydropower station and a downstream hydropower station which are adjacent to each other; thirdly, the generalized cascade hydropower station Bayesian risk network model serves as a basic unit, the reservoir outflow flood node of an upstream reservoir and the reservoir inflow flood node of a downstream reservoir are connected through a single arrow line according to the combination modes between the cascade reservoirs, and the Bayesian risk network models of the cascade reservoir group in different combination modes are formed.
Owner:CHINA HYDROELECTRIC ENGINEERING CONSULTING GROUP CHENGDU RESEARCH HYDROELECTRIC INVESTIGATION DESIGN AND INSTITUTE
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