The invention provides a fractured
shale gas reservoir performance parameter prediction method and
system, and belongs to the technical field of
shale gas reservoir exploration, and the method comprises the steps of obtaining a Fourier coefficient data volume based on
azimuth gather data in combination with Fourier series
decomposition; based on the
logging data, obtaining an isotropic parameter low-frequency model and an anisotropic parameter low-frequency model; obtaining
effective stress sensitive parameters based on
Bayesian inversion by using the Fourier coefficient data volume, the isotropic parameter low-frequency model and the angle seismic
wavelet; and utilizing the Fourier coefficient data volume, the
anisotropy parameter low-frequency model and the angle seismic
wavelet to obtain a fracture
weakness parameter based on
Bayesian inversion. According to the invention, reasonable
effective stress sensitive parameters and fracture
weakness prediction results can be generated, and the
abnormal pressure and fracture development characteristics of the fractured
shale gas reservoir can be identified.