The invention discloses a
wind speed prediction method along a
railway line considering
wind direction and a
confidence interval. A plurality of low-correlation
wind speed prediction models are established by using historical
wind speed data, the intelligent integrated optimization prediction results are optimized, the prediction accuracy is improved, and the
wind direction is established at the same time.
Wind speed prediction error joint probability distribution, combined with the
wind direction prediction value of the target anemometry point, to obtain high confidence wind speed predictioninterval; the wind speed prediction error of each
simulation and the wind direction real value at the corresponding time are taken as the first observation value of two-dimensional discrete random variable to construct the wind direction.The joint probability distribution of wind speed prediction error is used to establish the mapping relationship between wind direction and prediction error. Basedon wind direction, the high
confidence interval of wind speed prediction error is obtained, which significantly improves the robustness of wind speed prediction, avoids the singularity of absolute wind speed prediction, and provides more accurate and effective prediction information for
train operation decision-making.