The invention discloses an electric
system active power real-time dispatching method considering
wind power prediction error. The electric
system active power real-time dispatching method comprises the following steps of describing random distribution character of the
wind power prediction error by using
Laplace distribution; by taking economic efficiency optimum and wind curtailment minimum as two targets, introducing a chance constraint condition; solving
active power flow probability distribution of a
system on the basis of a probabilistic
power flow method for Latin
hypercube sampling; establishing a buffer generator set active power optimum allocation model considering the
wind power prediction error, and solving a chance constraint planning model by adopting an improved
genetic algorithm. According to the electric system active power real-time dispatching method disclosed by the invention, the wind power prediction error is considered during real-time dispatching, power unbalance and flow off-limit brought to the system by wind
power output offset can be avoided, and the
safe operation of the system is guaranteed; moreover, while the wind power prediction error is assimilated, the wind power accepting ability is increased by the system.