The invention discloses a steering engine reliability
simulation sampling method based on Markova chain Monte Carlo, which comprises four stages: 1, Markova
process simulation, namely selecting the initial state of a Markova chain, determining a random transition sampling probability density function, determining the next state of the Markova chain and constantly repeating to generate random sample points, of which the limit distribution is asymptotically optimal, of an importance sampling density function; 2,
kernel density estimation, namely selecting a kernel density function, determining a
window width parameter and a local bandwidth factor and generating a mixed importance sampling probability density function by using a self-adaptive width and
kernel density estimation method according to Markova state points; 3, importance sampling, namely performing importance sampling according to the mixed importance sampling probability density function generated in the second stage; and 4,statistical calculation, performing
failure probability estimation according to the important sample points generated in the third stage and calculating the
failure probability of the
system. The method effectively solves the problems of low
simulation efficiency, low precision and mixed
system.