53 results about "Focal element" patented technology

The invention provides a reservoir adaptive scheduling method based on the D-S evidence theory, which is characterized by including the following steps: S1, predicting the temperature and precipitation within a future research time through GCMs (Global Cycle Model) and a downscaling technology, taking the prediction result as the input predicted runoff of a hydrological model, and taking the runoff prediction results output by GCMs as multiple future climate change scenarios; S2, constituting a recognition framework with each potential climate change scenario as a focal element Theta in the D-S evidence theory; S3, defining corresponding basic probability assignment functions m1, m2 and m3; S4, synthesizing three evidences based on a modified D-S synthesis rule, and calculating the synthesis probability m123 of the scenarios; S5, letting the weight Alpha of each scenario be equal to a trust function; and S6, constructing a reservoir optimal scheduling model with the maximum weighted average of the average benefits over the years as an optimization objective, setting a linear scheduling function, and optimizing the parameters of the scheduling function through a simulated optimization approach to get an adaptive scheduling scheme.