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146 results about "Transportation forecasting" patented technology

Transportation forecasting is the attempt of estimating the number of vehicles or people that will use a specific transportation facility in the future. For instance, a forecast may estimate the number of vehicles on a planned road or bridge, the ridership on a railway line, the number of passengers visiting an airport, or the number of ships calling on a seaport. Traffic forecasting begins with the collection of data on current traffic. This traffic data is combined with other known data, such as population, employment, trip rates, travel costs, etc., to develop a traffic demand model for the current situation. Feeding it with predicted data for population, employment, etc. results in estimates of future traffic, typically estimated for each segment of the transportation infrastructure in question, e.g., for each roadway segment or railway station. The current technologies facilitate the access to dynamic data, big data, etc., providing the opportunity to develop new algorithms to improve greatly the predictability and accuracy of the current estimations.

Method and system for traffic prediction based on space-time relation

A system and method for traffic prediction based on space-time relation are disclosed. The system comprises a section spatial influence determining section for determining, for each of a plurality of sections to be predicted, spatial influences on the section by its neighboring sections; a traffic prediction model establishment section for establishing, for each of the plurality of sections to be predicted, a traffic prediction model by using the determined spatial influences and historical traffic data of the plurality of sections; and a traffic prediction section for predicting traffic of each of the plurality of sections to be predicted for a future time period by using real-time traffic data and the traffic prediction model. An apparatus and method for determining spatial influences among sections, as well as an apparatus and method for traffic prediction, are also disclosed. With the present invention, a spatial influence of a section can be used as a spatial operator and a time sequence model can be incorporated, such that the influences on a current section by its neighboring section for a plurality of spatial orders can be taken into account. In this way, the traffic condition in a spatial scope can be measured more practically, so as to improve accuracy of prediction.
Owner:NEC (CHINA) CO LTD

Traffic prediction method based on attention temporal graph convolutional network

The invention belongs to the field of intelligent transportation, and discloses a traffic prediction method based on an attention temporal graph convolutional network. The method includes the following steps that: firstly, an urban road network is modeled as a graph structure, nodes of the graph represent road sections, edges are connection relationships between the road sections, and the time series of each road section is described as attribute characteristics of the nodes; secondly, the temporal and spatial characteristics of the traffic flow are captured by using an attention temporal graph convolutional network model, the temporal variation trend of the traffic flow on urban roads is learned by using gated cycle units to capture the time dependence, and the global temporal variation trend of the traffic flow is learned by using an attention mechanism; and then, the traffic flow state at different times on each road section is obtained by using a fully connected layer; and finally,different evaluation indexes are used to estimate the difference between the real value and the predicted value of the traffic flow on the urban roads and further estimate the prediction ability of the model. Experiments prove that the method provided by the invention can effectively realize tasks of predicting the traffic flow on the urban roads.
Owner:CENT SOUTH UNIV

Method and system for mobile station positioning in cellular communication networks

A system of cell phone positioning in real time is provided with specialized location device installations on multiplicity of base stations BSs in CDMA and TDMA cellular communication networks. The purpose of the positioning system is to enable tracking and locating large quantities of anonymous mobile cell phones MS in any number of network cells to be used for real time traffic-forecasting systems, emergency services E911, and other client-initiated position requests. Location data thus obtained can be continuously updated from vehicular-based cellular phones, collected, processed and used as a basis for input to intelligent transportation systems, such as real time urban traffic guidance for vehicular congestion and intelligent traffic control systems. The system is capable of covering large urban geographical areas and number of independent cell structures serving thousands of mobile cell phone clients. It is an independent plug-in solution with specialized synchronized location device installations in each cell BS. Centrally located specialized location software based on Time of Arrival (TOA) and Time Difference of Arrival (TDOA) methods for high speed location processing in central Location Database Server (LDS). The inventive system consists of number of component functions: Operator-initiated functions, location device functions and software enabled positioning functions.
Owner:MAKOR ISSUES & RIGHTS

Car navigation system, traffic information providing apparatus, car navigation device, and traffic information providing method and program

In the present invention a traffic information providing apparatus makes a vehicle location and a running date a starting point, and predicts arrival time to each link included in a designated area, based on current traffic information provided by a traffic information center; meteorological forecast information provided by a meteorological information center; and statistical traffic information acquired from a traffic information data base where past traffic information is stored, thereby produces meteorological consideration traffic prediction information of the link, and sends the produced meteorological consideration traffic prediction information to a car navigation device. Then the car navigation device is configured to receive the produced meteorological consideration traffic prediction information and to search a guidance route, based on the produced meteorological consideration traffic prediction information.
Owner:CLARION CO LTD

Traffic prediction using real-world transportation data

Real-time high-fidelity spatiotemporal data on transportation networks can be used to learn about traffic behavior at different times and locations, potentially resulting in major savings in time and fuel. Real-world data collected from transportation networks can be used to incorporate the data's intrinsic behavior into a time-series mining technique to enhance its accuracy for traffic prediction. For example, the spatiotemporal behaviors of rush hours and events can be used to perform a more accurate prediction of both short-term and long-term average speed on road-segments, even in the presence of infrequent events (e.g., accidents). Taking historical rush-hour behavior into account can improve the accuracy of traditional predictors by up to 67% and 78% in short-term and long-term predictions, respectively. Moreover, the impact of an accident can be incorporated to improve the prediction accuracy by up to 91%.
Owner:UNIV OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

Traffic prediction and control system for vehicle traffic flows at traffic intersections

A method and a traffic prediction and control system (TPCS) for predicting and controlling vehicle traffic flow through a traffic intersection dynamically with proximal traffic intersections are provided. The TPCS dynamically receives sensor data from sensors at a local traffic intersection, determines traffic flow parameters, and determines a traffic flow flux using the traffic flow parameters. The TPCS dynamically receives analytical parameters from sensors at proximal traffic intersections and determines a minimum safe driving distance between leading and trailing vehicles, a traffic free flow density, a synchronized traffic flow density, and a traffic jam density to predict transitions of the vehicle traffic flow across traffic flow phases through the local traffic intersection. The TPCS controls the vehicle traffic flow by dynamically adjusting duration of traffic signals of the local traffic intersection and transmitting traffic signal time adjustment instructions to the proximal traffic intersections to maintain an optimized traffic flow flux.
Owner:GAO JASON HAO +1

Method and structure for vehicular traffic prediction with link interactions and missing real-time data

A method and apparatus for predicting traffic on a transportation network where real time data points are missing. In one embodiment, the missing data is estimated using a calibration model comprised of historical data that can be periodically updated, from select links constituting a relationship vector. The missing data can be estimated off-line whereafter it can be used to predict traffic for at least a part of the network, the traffic prediction being calculated by using a deviation from a historical traffic on the network. The invention further discloses a method for in-vehicle navigation; and a method for traffic prediction for a single lane.
Owner:TOMTOM GLOBAL CONTENT

Traffic flow prediction method and system, and terminal device

The method is suitable for the technical field of traffic prediction, and provides a traffic flow prediction method and system, and a terminal device. The method comprises the following steps of: acquiring traffic data in a specified time period of a target area, performing graph convolution network training on the traffic data, capturing a topological structure of an urban road network to obtainspatial features, inputting the time sequence of the spatial features into a gating cycle unit model, and obtaining dynamic changes through information transmission between units to capture time features; and establishing a prediction model according to the spatial features and the time features so as to predict the traffic flow of the target area according to the prediction model. According to the invention, a graph convolutional neural network based on an attention mechanism is applied to the prediction problem in the traffic field, high-dimensional features in the road traffic network can be better mined in a complex road structure, the accuracy of traffic flow prediction is improved in cooperation with the improved recurrent neural network, and the improvement effect is obvious especially in medium-term and long-term prediction.
Owner:SHENZHEN INST OF ADVANCED TECH

GPS-based trafic monitoring system

A traffic monitoring system comprises a traffic estimating module that estimates an average traffic level on the road during prior ones of first periodic periods. A traffic monitoring module estimates a current traffic level on the road during a first portion of a current one of the first periodic periods based on vector and location information received from at least one of cellular phones and vehicles during the first portion. A traffic predicting module predicts traffic levels on the road during a remaining portion of the current one of the first periodic periods based on the average traffic level and the estimated current traffic level during the first portion.
Owner:MARVELL ASIA PTE LTD +1

Real-time traffic analysis through integration of road traffic prediction and traffic microsimulation models

A system, method and computer program product for forecasting a vehicle traffic condition in a near future. The system comprises a traffic prediction tool, a turning percentage prediction module and a simulation tool. The traffic prediction tool estimates a traffic speed and volume in a traffic link. A traffic link refers to a portion of a traffic road where the traffic prediction tool is installed. The turning percentage prediction module estimates a turning percentage in the traffic link based on the estimated traffic speed and traffic volume. The simulation tool computes, based on the estimated turning percentage, the estimated traffic speed and the estimated traffic volume, an expected traffic volume in the traffic link.
Owner:IBM CORP

Vehicle forecasting method and forecasting system

The invention relates to the field of traffic forecasting. A road traffic forecasting method comprises the steps that information collecting is carried out, namely vehicle driving related information and traffic forecasting auxiliary information are collected; driving path analyzing is carried out, so as to calculate the driving path, which takes a road as an element, of each vehicle to acquire driving path data; road traffic threshold calculation and vehicle behavior chain analysis are carried out, wherein road traffic threshold calculation is used for calculating the traffic threshold of each road in different flow states, and vehicle behavior chain analysis is used for analyzing and calculating the behavior chain of each vehicle; vehicle behavior mode analysis is carried out to analyze and calculate the travel mode of each vehicle; vehicle travel forecasting is carried out to forecast the travel purpose, the starting point, the driving path, the probability and the time of each vehicle in future; road traffic forecasting is carried out to forecast the flow, the flow patterns, the vehicle sources and the destinations of different roads at different times in future; and information releasing is carried out on a road traffic forecasting result.
Owner:HUADI COMP GROUP

Three-dimensional urban traffic road network global state prediction method under large data environment

A three-dimensional urban traffic road network global state prediction method under a large data environment is disclosed. Aiming at a coupling multi-layer large-scale urban traffic road network, a global traffic mode containing coupling information is defined, a method of extracting a main road network characteristic is provided, a high dimension state time sequence is converted into a discrete state type sequence, and difficulties of high dimension data in processing and prediction aspects are simplified. From aspects of traffic periodicity, delay performance and other characteristics, a historical state transfer information database containing a multielement traffic characteristic is constructed, mass data information and a data driving idea are fully used and a Markov transition probability theory is applied so as to realize multi-step global traffic state prediction. Through the global traffic prediction, a traffic state of each area can be acquired one time. Compared to an existing traffic prediction method, by using the method of the invention, a long-term prediction result is acquired rapidly and a good prediction output effect is possessed.
Owner:SHANGHAI JIAO TONG UNIV

System And Method For Information Supplying Service

Disclosed is a system and a method for collecting various road traffic information, road image information, and position information of a position information generation device carried by an object, the position of which is to be tracked, by interworking with an information provision means and using the collected information to provide service subscribers with real-time traffic information, traffic prediction, or position information of the object via wireless Internet, satellite broadcasting, DMB, or cable data broadcasting. The system and method can provide detailed traffic information service regarding a specific region or location on a nationwide scale, predict traffic to properly deal with it, and easily provide position information of an object to be tracked.
Owner:POS DATA CO LTD

Modeling method of traffic prediction

The invention discloses a model method of a traffic prediction. The method comprises the following steps of: (1) establishing a road traffic basic facility geographical information database, storing and updating traffic planning schemes, and establishing intersection delay determination; (2) establishing an urban planning construction geographical information database, storing regulatory detailed plans of each area, and utilizing an original unit method to construct traffic generation cases; (3) calling data of the road traffic basic facility geographical information database and the urban planning construction geographical information database, and utilizing a gravity model method to predict parallel distributed matrixes; (4) constructing a multi-element logit model, and determining the probability distribution for a single person selecting a travelling mode in specific travelling information; and (5) utilizing a capacity-limited multi-path distribution method to carry out traffic distribution. The modeling purpose, method to realization are overall planed, modeling parameter selection, basic data sources and calculation program design are coordinated, and the convenient application and operation of a traffic prediction model system are ensured.
Owner:JINAN MUNICIPAL ENG DESIGN & RES INSITITUTE GRP

Traffic prediction method based on adaptive spatial self-attention map convolution

The invention discloses a traffic prediction method based on adaptive spatial self-attention map convolution, belongs to the traffic field and the deep learning field, and provides an adaptive spatial self-attention graph convolution network (ASSAGCN) for traffic prediction. The ASSAGCN is formed by stacking two residual error blocks. Each residual block is composed of a graph convolution module (GCN), a multi-head spatial self-attention module (MHSSA), a gating fusion module (GF) and a multi-receptive-field cavity causal convolution module (MRDCC), Wherein the GCN performs modeling on local spatial correlation of a road network based on connectivity; the MHSSA is used for capturing implicit spatial correlation of a road network and aggregating information of each node globally; the GF fuses the output of the GCN and the output of the MHSSA; and the MRDCC is used to model temporal correlation. An input layer adopts a simple full-connection layer to map input to a high-dimensional space to improve the expression ability of the model, and an output layer adopts two 1 * 1 convolutional layers. The method can capture the potential spatial correlation in the road network, and adapts to the dynamic change of the road network structure.
Owner:BEIJING UNIV OF TECH

Traffic prediction method and device based on dynamic space-time diagram convolution attention model

PendingCN113487088ACapturing real-time spatial dependenciesDetection of traffic movementForecastingAttention modelTraffic prediction
The invention discloses a traffic prediction method and device based on a dynamic space-time diagram convolution attention model. Comprising the following steps: modeling a road traffic network into a graph structure; modeling a dynamic space-time diagram convolution attention model by using the diagram structure and the diagram signal; through an encoder unit of the dynamic space-time diagram convolution attention model, capturing dynamic space correlation among sensor nodes at different moments, capturing time correlation of step lengths at historical moments and time correlation among multi-step prediction, and obtaining a hidden state including each prediction step length; and enabling the decoder unit to receive the hidden state of each prediction step length, and obtaining a prediction result of recording speed values of all sensor nodes in the next one hour by adopting a scheduling sampling strategy. Experiments prove that the method of the invention can effectively obtain a traffic prediction result in the next one hour, and the model of the method of the invention exceeds SOTA.
Owner:HARBIN INST OF TECH SHENZHEN GRADUATE SCHOOL

Traffic prediction method of spatio-temporal diagram convolution model based on attribute enhancement

ActiveCN112216108AOvercome the defect of not being able to integrate multi-source dataAccurate traffic forecastDetection of traffic movementForecastingTraffic predictionAlgorithm
The invention discloses a traffic prediction method of a spatio-temporal graph convolution model based on attribute enhancement. The method comprises the following steps: constructing an adjacent matrix A based on road network data; constructing an attribute enhancement matrix Kt = [Xt, p, Bt] at the moment t based on the feature matrix X, the interest point information vector p and the weather information matrix B; inputting the attribute enhancement matrixes of the n historical moments and the adjacent matrix of the road network into a spatio-temporal diagram convolution model for learning and training, calculating a traffic flow hidden state, and obtaining a traffic prediction value. According to the method of the invention, on the basis of spatial features when a spatio-temporal diagram convolution model is used for modeling, multi-source fragmented city data are fused to capture the relationship between external factors influencing traffic and traffic flow, the perception of the spatio-temporal diagram convolution model on the external influence factors is enhanced, and therefore, more efficient and accurate traffic prediction can be realized.
Owner:CENT SOUTH UNIV

Traffic data quality control method based on crowd-sourcing trajectory data

InactiveCN109215347AIdeal location informationUniform input specificationDetection of traffic movementTransportation forecastingData cleansing
The invention discloses a quality control method for crowd-sourcing trajectory data. The method comprises the first step of data cleaning, the second step of abnormal trajectory data recognition and processing, the third step of data set trajectory pre-generation and adjusting and the fourth step of complete trajectory displaying and historical database updating. A solution is provided for fault data and missing data in traffic data of the crowd-sourcing trajectory data, the completeness of the trajectory data is ensured, and accurate data support is provided for traffic planning and traffic predicting.
Owner:BEIHANG UNIV

Expressway traffic flow forecasting method based on time series

The invention discloses an expressway traffic flow forecasting method based on time series. The expressway traffic flow forecasting method includes the steps of selecting one time scale, and carrying out statistics to build the traffic flow time series Q=(x); setting the value range of the number p of autoregression items and the number q of moving average items according to the selected time scale; solving the number p of the autoregression items and the number q of the moving average items; fitting the optimal number p of the autoregression items and the optimal number q of the moving average items through the maximum likelihood estimation in cooperation with the traffic flow time series Q to obtain an optimal ARMA model, and obtaining weight parameters of historical measured values and weight parameters of historical error values; solving the traffic flow forecasting series (please see the specifications) under the different time scales. By means of the expressway traffic flow forecasting method, an obtained time series model can better meet the requirement for forecasting various kinds of flow of an expressway, and the forecasting universality is improved; operation is simple, the forecasting efficiency is improved, the forecasting speed is increased, and the engineering requirement of traffic forecasting of the expressway is met.
Owner:四川省交通科学研究所

Data prediction-based dynamic traffic route planning method

The invention discloses a data prediction-based dynamic traffic route planning method. According to the method, a traditional route planning method and a traffic prediction technology are combined, aKNN algorithm is used during the data prediction, and short-term traffic flows are predicted on the basis of history data; a weight of each road section in each time period is determined according toa length of the road section; and moreover, by considering the total coordination of road network, route recommendation is dynamically and evenly carried out from a global angle, so that the conditionof causing new traffic congestion in the future by recommending too many users for a same road section can be avoided on one hand, and emergencies such as traffic control and traffic accidents can betimely reflected to update planned routes on the other hand. According to the method, effective and timely traffic road section congestion information can be provided for users so as to obtain dynamic and global optimum route recommendation.
Owner:HOHAI UNIV CHANGZHOU

Method and structure for vehicular traffic prediction with link interactions

A method and structure for predicting traffic on a network, includes a receiver which receives data related to traffic on at least a portion of a network. A calculator calculates a traffic prediction for at least a part of the network, the traffic prediction being calculated by using a deviation from a historical traffic on the network.
Owner:TOMTOM GLOBAL CONTENT

Traffic forecasting system, traffic forecasting method and traffic model establishing method

A traffic forecasting system configured to forecast a travel time of a route is disclosed. The traffic forecasting system includes a model-training module, a model-selecting module and a forecasting module. The model-training module builds multiple candidate models. Each of the candidate models corresponds to one of a plurality of road section and one of a plurality of mathematical models. The model-selecting module selects an estimated model corresponding to the road section from the candidate models matching the road sections of the route. The forecasting module calculates estimated vehicle speeds of each road section according to the estimated models of each road section of the route. The model-selecting module selects one of the candidate models corresponding to the road section with the smallest error as the estimated model of the road section.
Owner:INSTITUTE FOR INFORMATION INDUSTRY

Method and system for traffic prediction based on space-time relation

A system and method for traffic prediction based on space-time relation are disclosed. The system comprises a section spatial influence determining section for determining, for each of a plurality of sections to be predicted, spatial influences on the section by its neighboring sections; a traffic prediction model establishment section for establishing, for each of the plurality of sections to be predicted, a traffic prediction model by using the determined spatial influences and historical traffic data of the plurality of sections; and a traffic prediction section for predicting traffic of each of the plurality of sections to be predicted for a future time period by using real-time traffic data and the traffic prediction model. An apparatus and method for determining spatial influences among sections, as well as an apparatus and method for traffic prediction, are also disclosed. With the present invention, a spatial influence of a section can be used as a spatial operator and a time sequence model can be incorporated, such that the influences on a current section by its neighboring section for a plurality of spatial orders can be taken into account. In this way, the traffic condition in a spatial scope can be measured more practically, so as to improve accuracy of prediction.
Owner:NEC (CHINA) CO LTD

Short-term traffic flow prediction method based on deep learning

The invention discloses a short-term traffic flow prediction method based on deep learning and belongs to the field of traffic prediction. The method comprises steps of firstly, extracting spatial features of traffic flow by using a convolutional neural network; secondly, extracting time features by using a gating circulation unit introducing an attention mechanism, and calculating importance of traffic flow features at different moments through the attention mechanism so that the model pays more attention to the features with high importance; extracting periodic features by using the periodicfeatures of the traffic flow data; and lastly, fusing all the features for prediction. The method is advantaged in that the defect that a prediction method in the prior art cannot fully utilize the spatial and temporal features of the traffic flow data is solved, prediction precision of the traffic flow is improved, and a problem of short-term traffic flow prediction can be better solved.
Owner:BEIJING UNIV OF TECH

Traffic speed prediction method and system and storage medium

The invention discloses a traffic speed prediction method and system and a storage medium, and the method comprises the steps: collecting an original traffic speed data set, dividing the data set intoa training set and a test set, mining different spatial relations of the original traffic speed data set, and constructing two road network graphs; fusing the adjacent matrixes of the two road network graphs into a new graph adjacent matrix; taking the training set and the new graph adjacency matrix as input of a traffic prediction model, and training to obtain a prediction model; and predictingthe traffic speed by using the prediction model. The spatial relationship can be fully and comprehensively mined, the complexity of model processing is reduced, and the traffic speed is accurately predicted.
Owner:HUNAN UNIV

Traffic operation state prediction method and system for congested area

The invention relates to the technical field of traffic prediction, in particular to a traffic operation state prediction method and system for a congested area. The method comprises the following steps: S1, acquiring regional traffic data information; S2, generating a plurality of congestion subareas according to the regional traffic data information; S3, performing road section speed predictionon each road section in each congestion subarea according to the prediction time period to obtain a road section prediction speed of the corresponding prediction time period; S4, carrying out the OD prediction according to the obtained prediction speed of the road section to obtain OD prediction parameters; S5, simulating the regional traffic operation state according to the road section prediction speed and the OD prediction parameters of the congestion subarea so as to predict the regional traffic operation state. According to the method, the dynamic characteristics of the road section association relationship are reserved by constructing the congestion subareas, the problem that a previous traffic simulation area is fixed is solved, the problem of simulation flow parameter calibration under data loss is solved by utilizing the generalization performance of the meta-learning model, and the traffic operation state of the congestion area can be better predicted.
Owner:ENJOYOR COMPANY LIMITED
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