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Time-space domain correlation prediction method for air pollutant concentration

A technology of air pollutants and pollutant concentration, applied in prediction, biological neural network models, instruments, etc., can solve the problem of inability to realize deep connection extraction of data, limited ability to use large-scale data, and difficulty in temporal and spatial correlation of pollutants, etc. problem, to avoid the problem of gradient disappearance or gradient explosion, avoid the problem of gradient disappearance, and eliminate the effect of degradation problem

Active Publication Date: 2019-03-19
SHANGHAI NORMAL UNIVERSITY
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Problems solved by technology

However, in the face of the high dimensionality of air pollution data, the high diversity of influencing factors, and the massive pollution detection data, traditional numerical analysis models have encountered the following key problems: (1) The data sources used in the analysis models are too single, and most of them are only built on On a single set of pollution data, there is a lack of comprehensive consideration of other environmental factors, such as weather data; (2) In terms of space and time dimensions, traditional models lack the ability to mine the internal spatiotemporal correlation characteristics of pollution data, and cannot achieve deep internal data analysis. Contact extraction and response to the impact of abrupt weather environment; (3) The large-scale data application capacity of the model is limited, and it is difficult to mine the spatio-temporal correlation of pollutants from the perspective of big data

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  • Time-space domain correlation prediction method for air pollutant concentration
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Embodiment Construction

[0044] The present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the drawings and specific embodiments. This embodiment is implemented on the premise of the technical solution of the present invention, and a detailed implementation mode and specific operation process are given, but the protection scope of the present invention is not limited to the following embodiments.

[0045] This application first defines the air pollutant concentration prediction:

[0046] Definition 1 Air pollutant concentration prediction: It mainly uses historical pollutants and meteorological information to predict the concentration of a series of air pollution such as PM2.5 and PM10 in a certain period of time in the future. It is used in environmental science, meteorological science, computer science, etc. One of the key research topics, so it has a certain degree of interdisciplinary.

[0047] Definition 2 Traditional prediction method: Non-deep learning air pollutant concentration predi...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a time-space domain correlation prediction method for air pollutant concentration, which comprises the steps of S1, constructing a prediction model based on a residual error network and a convolutional LSTM network by taking PM2.5 as a sample for target pollutant prediction; s2, selecting appropriate training and testing data from the environment monitoring data to complete initialization of the prediction model; s3, training the prediction model stage by stage to obtain a neural network prediction model capable of accurately predicting PM2.5; s4, selecting hyper-parameters (the number of layers, the number of nodes and the learning rate) of the model by utilizing the verification set until the model is optimal; and S5, carrying out urban PM2.5 prediction by utilizing the verified prediction model. Compared with the prior art, the method has the advantages that the convolutional LSTM network is used as a middle layer, deep space-time association feature extraction is performed on spatial features extracted by the bottom ResNet network, accordingly, the prediction performance of the network model can be improved, the hidden state of the convolutional LSTM can be received by the aid of the full connection layer, and a final prediction result can be generated.

Description

Technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method for predicting the concentration of urban air pollutants, in particular to a method for predicting the concentration of air pollutants in time-space domains. Background technique [0002] In recent years, the increasingly serious air pollution problem has aroused widespread concern around the world. Pollutants such as PM2.5 and PM10 have a huge impact on people's life and health. The problem of air pollution is becoming increasingly prominent. Air pollution analysis and prediction are complex and dynamic, involving multiple departments, regions and fields. To accurately predict air pollution, it is necessary to process a large amount of environmental data and environmental information related to it. Various organizations attach importance to and focus on the improvement of air pollution response and treatment capabilities, among which air pollution prediction technology is one of the focus issues currently concerned. At p...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06N3/04
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06N3/045
Inventor 张波邹国建李美子倪琴
Owner SHANGHAI NORMAL UNIVERSITY
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