Method for describing electricity consumption of social organization by using transformer area data
A social organization, using Taiwan-based technology, applied in data processing applications, market data collection, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as incompleteness, scattered functions, abnormal data detection process and lack of detection efficiency.
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Embodiment 1
[0031]Embodiment 1: Collect power load forecast data, refine the granularity of the collected power load forecast data, obtain power load forecast meta-variables, perform factor analysis on the obtained power load forecast meta-variables, and obtain village development characteristics; an embodiment of the present invention By collecting the power load forecast data used to characterize the power load in each village, such as the total population, precipitation, rural irrigation and drainage area, temperature, electricity price, the collected power load forecast data is refined, and the power load forecast element is obtained. variable. Among them, the power load forecasting element variable is used to describe or accurately describe the power load, and it is the basic or underlying variable that characterizes or reflects the change of the power load.
Embodiment 2
[0032] Example 2: The power load prediction meta-variables of the village-level power grid include 20 kinds of parameters, corresponding to the meta-variables V1-V20 in Table 1. Among them, the household registration population, household registration population change rate, permanent resident population, permanent resident population obtained through granularity refinement The rate of change and the permanent population / registered population can describe the overall size and flow of the village population, and indirectly reflect the impact of out-migration and urbanization on the population of the village; the proportion of the young population and the proportion of the elderly population can reflect the population structure of the village, the village The balance of development and the potential for electricity consumption, through the analysis of the proportion of the young population and the proportion of the elderly population, can reflect the hollowing trend of villages, a...
Embodiment 3
[0033] Embodiment 3: The obtained K models are adjusted for K times of parameters, and then the corresponding first test data is used to carry out K tests, and the test results are evaluated. If the obtained models meet the requirements, the obtained The model is the first model obtained according to the first data. Otherwise, continue to repeat the above steps until the first model that meets the requirements is established. Generally speaking, errors are unavoidable. For different types of problems, it is necessary to count the corresponding errors. For example, for classification problems, you need to count the number of classification errors, and for regression problems, you need to count the mean squared error.
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