Construction method of kumquat yield area forecasting model based on meteorological conditions

A construction method and forecasting model technology, applied in forecasting, instrumentation, data processing applications, etc., can solve problems such as the inability to realize kumquat yield forecasting, and achieve the effects of high forecasting accuracy, simple model, and easy access to parameters

Inactive Publication Date: 2021-09-28
GUANGXI TEACHERS EDUCATION UNIV
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0003] Any one condition or the combination of a plurality of conditions in the existing cultivation technology, all can't realize the forecast of the kumquat yield of an area, a plot, a tree, these conditions comprise site condition, tree vigor, water and fertilizer management, output ( Thinning flowers and vegetables) regulation, meteorological conditions, etc.

Method used

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Examples

Experimental program
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Effect test

specific Embodiment

[0026] Step 1: Preparation of gold orange production data;

[0027] According to the relevant department survey and data analysis, 1990-2019 Guangxi Ronganjin orange production is small, the year, the large year, the year, the secondary, the small year, 5, 4, 3, 2 respectively ,1;

[0028] Step 2: Prepare meteorological data;

[0029] In 1990-2019, Guangxi Rongan meteorological data is derived from National Meteorological Stations, and meteorological data includes the highest temperature, the average temperature, the lowest temperature, the average relative humidity, minimum relative humidity, precipitation, and sunshine hours.

[0030] Step 3: Determine the regional forecasting concept model;

[0031] P = f (x 1 ; X 2 ; X 3 ; X 4 ); Where: X 1 , X 2 , X 3 , X 4 From January-February rainfall accumulated (negatively related), the average daily temperature average (positive correlation) in July, the average minimum humidity average (negatively related) in July, and the rainfall in ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a construction method of a kumquat yield area forecasting model based on meteorological conditions. The model construction method comprises the following steps: step 1, preparing kumquat yield data; step 2, preparing meteorological data; step 3, determining a region forecasting conceptual model; in the first step, a model user obtains monitoring data of at least 1000 mu of kumquats in the same region for more than 10 years in a monitoring mode or other modes, the kumquat yield area forecasting model based on the meteorological conditions is simple and practical, parameters are easy to obtain, and forecasting precision is high; the regional cumquat yield is forecast based on the meteorological conditions entering the growing season every year, and field planting technology regulation and market price expectation are forecast in advance; on the basis of parameters of the kumquat yield area forecasting model, field facilities are set to regulate and control field micrometeorological conditions, real-time water and fertilizer management is carried out, and optimal management conditions are created for high yield.

Description

Technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the field of crop cultivation techniques, and in particular, a method of constructing a kinemon production region prediction model. Background technique [0002] Crispy tits are high-grade fruit, which is high-grade fruit. The current cultivation technology has matured, but the production of kumquats is affected by meteorological conditions, especially in summer and autumn encounters unfavorable weather conditions, will seriously affect yield formation. Kumquat is a landmark crop that has formed a large-scale production in the past few years, and there is currently no quantitative prediction model to achieve an estimated output of gold orange production. This patent is based on early forecast production in advance, providing scientific basis for the regulation of field water fertilizer management and micro - gas conditions. [0003] Any one of the existing cultivation techniques or a combination of multiple conditions cannot...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q10/06G06Q50/02
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q10/067G06Q50/02
Inventor 王铄今侯彦林贾书刚侯显达刘书田潘桂颖朱艳梅杜潇
Owner GUANGXI TEACHERS EDUCATION UNIV
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