Cost prediction method of power transmission and transformation project based on kpca-la-rbm

A technology of engineering cost and forecasting method, applied in forecasting, neural learning methods, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as slow convergence speed of BP neural network algorithm, unsuitable small sample data prediction, easy to fall into local optimal solution, etc.

Active Publication Date: 2021-09-10
NORTH CHINA ELECTRIC POWER UNIV (BAODING)
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] However, the BP neural network algorithm has a slow convergence speed and is easy to fall into a local optimal solution. In view of the shortcomings of the algorithm, many scholars use factor analysis, fuzzy algorithm, etc. to combine with the neural network to form a new combination algorithm, or use genetic algorithm, particle swarm optimization Algorithms, etc. to improve it
[0006] Although the BP neural network algorithm has been greatly improved in terms of prediction performance and can obtain more accurate prediction results, the BP neural network is not suitable for prediction of small sample data.

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  • Cost prediction method of power transmission and transformation project based on kpca-la-rbm
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  • Cost prediction method of power transmission and transformation project based on kpca-la-rbm

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[0100] Below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, the embodiments of the present invention are further described, in the present invention, KPCA is the kernel principal component analysis, LA is the lion algorithm, and RBM is the restricted Boltzmann machine algorithm;

[0101] like figure 1 As shown, this embodiment is specifically divided into the following steps;

[0102] Step 1. Perform data selection and preprocessing on each sample data, and obtain a set of key influencing factors;

[0103] Collect several sets of sample data to identify the original set of factors affecting the cost of overhead line engineering = {conductor price, wire quantity, line length, area of ​​a single wire, tower material price, tower material quantity, tower base number, basic steel quantity, steel price, The amount of foundation concrete, the amount of earth and stone, the altitude, the terrain distribution, the geological conditions, the construction fee, the construction manageme...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a KPCA-LA-RBM-based cost prediction method for power transmission and transformation projects, which belongs to the technical field of electric digital data processing. It includes the following steps: 1. Perform data selection and preprocessing on each sample data, and obtain a set of key influencing factors; 2. Form a training set from several sets of preprocessed sample data, and use the training set to train the KPCA-LA-RBM combined model; 3. Use the remaining data as the test set, and use the test set to predict the trained model according to the trained combination model to obtain the final prediction result. The present invention selects the first four principal components as the input vector of the combination model according to the cumulative variance contribution rate of the principal components, and improves the calculation efficiency of the model under the condition of ensuring the prediction accuracy. The combination model proposed by the invention can effectively reduce errors caused by a single model, improve prediction accuracy, improve generalization ability and robustness, and is suitable for cost prediction of power transmission and transformation projects.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of electrical digital data processing, in particular to a KPCA-LA-RBM-based cost prediction method for power transmission and transformation projects. Background technique [0002] Electric power construction belongs to infrastructure construction. Compared with other consumer demands, the quality of infrastructure construction has a great impact on people's living standards and quality. It can be said that electric power construction is also a symbol of a city's developed level to a certain extent. In recent years, with the growth of my country's GDP, the power grid industry has developed rapidly, the scale of power transmission and transformation projects has continued to increase, and the power grid investment has also become larger and larger. In order to reasonably control costs, optimize resource allocation and effectively adjust planning arrangements in the actual construction process of electric powe...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06N3/04G06N3/06G06N3/08G06K9/62G06Q10/04G06Q50/06
CPCG06N3/06G06N3/08G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N3/047G06F18/214
Inventor 牛东晓浦迪康辉戴舒羽
Owner NORTH CHINA ELECTRIC POWER UNIV (BAODING)
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