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Thermal load entropy weight fuzzy risk assessment method based on electric power spot market transaction

A technology of risk assessment and risk assessment, which is applied in the field of fuzzy risk assessment of heat load entropy weight based on power spot market transactions, can solve the problems of poor objectivity of qualitative method assessment, and achieve the effect of accurate and objective assessment

Pending Publication Date: 2021-06-18
NORTH CHINA ELECTRIC POWER UNIV (BAODING) +2
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

[0005] The fuzzy risk assessment method of thermal load entropy weight based on the power spot market transaction effectively solves the shortcomings of the poor objectivity of qualitative method evaluation. The coefficients are combined in a more reasonable weighted way, and the relative importance of the two weights is further considered, the evaluation is more accurate and objective, and it provides a scientific risk assessment method for heat loads to participate in power spot market transactions

Method used

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  • Thermal load entropy weight fuzzy risk assessment method based on electric power spot market transaction
  • Thermal load entropy weight fuzzy risk assessment method based on electric power spot market transaction
  • Thermal load entropy weight fuzzy risk assessment method based on electric power spot market transaction

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Embodiment 1

[0035] A fuzzy risk assessment method for thermal load entropy weight based on power spot market transactions provided by the present invention includes:

[0036] S1: According to the recommended principles of electric power risk evaluation indicators, select the risk evaluation indicators for heat loads participating in power spot market transactions, and determine the risk evaluation set and comment set for heat loads participating in power spot market transactions;

[0037] S2: Standardize the risk assessment matrix for thermal loads participating in electricity spot market transactions;

[0038] S3: Determine the entropy weight set and the comprehensive weight set of the heat load participating in the power spot market transaction risk index;

[0039] S4: Construct a fuzzy evaluation matrix for the risk of heat loads in different regions participating in power spot market transactions;

[0040] S5: Obtain a fuzzy subset of comprehensive evaluation;

[0041] S6: Use the r...

Embodiment 2

[0093] In order to test the rationality of the risk assessment method proposed by the method for heat load participation in electricity spot market transactions, this example selects three regions as the research objects, including Region 2 with a relatively good market construction, and Region 1 and Region 1, which started relatively late. Area 3, meets the needs of sample diversity. A fuzzy risk assessment method for thermal load entropy weight based on power spot market transactions provided by the present invention includes:

[0094] S1: According to the suggested principle of electric power risk evaluation index, select the risk evaluation index of heat load participating in the electricity spot market transaction, and determine the risk evaluation set and comment set of heat load participating in the electricity spot market transaction in three regions;

[0095] S101: According to the recommended principles of electric power risk evaluation indicators, select five risk i...

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Abstract

The invention belongs to the field of methods for evaluating risks of thermal load participating in electric power spot market transaction, and particularly relates to a thermal load entropy weight fuzzy risk evaluation method based on electric power spot market transaction. The method comprises steps of determining a risk evaluation set and a comment set of thermal load participating in electric power spot market transaction; standardizing the thermal load participating in the electric power spot market transaction risk evaluation matrix; determining an entropy weight set and a comprehensive weight set of the thermal load participating in the electric power spot market transaction risk index; constructing a fuzzy evaluation matrix of the electric power spot market transaction risk participated by the thermal loads of different regions; solving a comprehensive evaluation fuzzy subset; and sequencing the conditions of the electric power spot market transaction risks participated by the thermal loads in different regions by using a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation result. According to the method, evaluation is more accurate and objective, and a scientific risk evaluation means is provided for participation of thermal load in electric power spot market transaction.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of risk assessment methods for thermal loads participating in electric power spot market transactions, and in particular relates to a thermal load entropy weight fuzzy risk assessment method based on electric power spot market transactions. Background technique [0002] With the continuous acceleration of my country's electricity marketization reform, the new round of electricity marketization construction has been fully accelerated, and many positive progresses have been made. As one of the indispensable links in the modern power market system, the spot market plays the role of real-time power balance, guiding the investment and construction of power grid power supply, and providing price signals for other power trading varieties. However, in the spot market environment, thermal loads participate in the power Spot market transaction risks are characterized by multiple forms, great influence and difficult supervision....

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/06G06Q40/04G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/0635G06Q10/06393G06Q40/04G06Q50/06
Inventor 刘紫东刘文颖罗凡邵冲王维洲韩永军韩小齐郇悦张尧翔苏海军徐兰兰罗世刚韩旭杉邓舜禹王方雨张雨薇李潇胡阳朱丽萍张雯程杨美颖曾贇庞清仑申自裕窦常永
Owner NORTH CHINA ELECTRIC POWER UNIV (BAODING)
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