Electric power spot market marginal electricity price prediction method, system and device and storage medium

A forecasting method and market forecasting technology, applied in the field of electricity price forecasting in the power spot market, can solve the problem of low accuracy

Pending Publication Date: 2021-04-20
CHINA ELECTRIC POWER RES INST +2
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] The purpose of the present invention is to overcome the shortcomings of the low accuracy of the prediction results of the existing marginal electricity price predi...

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  • Electric power spot market marginal electricity price prediction method, system and device and storage medium
  • Electric power spot market marginal electricity price prediction method, system and device and storage medium
  • Electric power spot market marginal electricity price prediction method, system and device and storage medium

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[0034] In order to enable those skilled in the art to better understand the solutions of the present invention, the following will clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention in conjunction with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only It is an embodiment of a part of the present invention, but not all embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by persons of ordinary skill in the art without making creative efforts shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

[0035] It should be noted that the terms "first" and "second" in the description and claims of the present invention and the above drawings are used to distinguish similar objects, but not necessarily used to describe a specific sequence or sequence. It is to be understood that the data so used are interchangeable under appropriate ...

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Abstract

The invention belongs to the electric power spot market electricity price prediction field, and discloses an electric power spot market marginal electricity price prediction method, system and device, and a storage medium, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining a load influence parameter of an electric power spot market prediction day, and obtaining an electric power load prediction curve of the prediction day according to the load influence parameter; obtaining quotation influence parameters of the prediction day of the power spot market, and obtaining a simulated quotation curve of each power generation enterprise of the prediction day according to the quotation influence parameters; and obtaining a prediction result of the marginal electricity price of each time node of the prediction day according to the power load prediction curve of the prediction day and the simulation quotation curve of each power generation enterprise of the prediction day. Through the power load prediction curve and the simulation quotation curve, the prediction result of the marginal electricity price of each time node of the prediction day is obtained, the accuracy of the prediction result is effectively improved, and the deviation between the prediction result and the actual result is reduced.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of electricity price forecasting in an electric power spot market, and relates to a method, a system, a device and a storage medium for predicting a marginal electricity price in an electric power spot market. Background technique [0002] The marketization of electricity is a major trend in the global power system. The reform of the domestic electricity market is also advancing in an orderly manner. Electricity prices are the core of this market. Fluctuations in electricity prices affect the flow and distribution of various resources in the electricity market. Therefore, in the electricity market environment, accurate electricity price forecasting is of great significance to all participants in the market. Electricity price forecasting refers to the analysis and research of relevant historical data by using mathematical tools under the condition of fully considering the relationship between market supply and demand, ...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q30/02G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N3/04G06K9/62
Inventor 杨晓楠韩晓东崔晖黄文英戴赛苏晶晶胡晨旭李哲韩彬丁强李媛媛胡晓静李伟刚徐晓彤张传成许丹黄国栋燕京华李静蔡帜张加力李宇轩李凌昊常江张瑞雯苏明玉
Owner CHINA ELECTRIC POWER RES INST
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