High-proportion photovoltaic power distribution network voltage prediction method based on time convolution neural network
A convolutional neural network and voltage prediction technology, applied in neural learning methods, AC network voltage adjustment, biological neural network models, etc., can solve problems such as effective utilization, achieve small memory usage, improve safety and stability, and improve operating economy Effects on Sex and Reliability
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Embodiment 1
[0052] Such as figure 1 As shown, a high-proportion photovoltaic distribution network reactive power and voltage prediction method based on time convolutional neural network described in the present invention, the process is as follows figure 1 As shown, it specifically includes the following steps:
[0053] Step 1: Raw load data for data preprocessing
[0054] Said step 1 is as follows:
[0055] The historical operation data of the key nodes of the distribution network in the past year is selected, and the time scale of the predicted voltage is 1h, that is, s=1. The rolling prediction method is used to construct the training feature set. In order to facilitate the time convolutional neural network prediction model training and feature extraction, the voltage time series data is subjected to maximum and minimum normalization processing, so that the original data is located in the [0,1] interval, and the normalization processing formula is as follows:
[0056] (1)
[0...
Embodiment 2
[0088] 1) Establish a network model with a high proportion of photovoltaic distribution network
[0089] Attached picture figure 2 It is an IEEE33 node power distribution system. The system contains 3 photovoltaic power sources, and its nodes 5, 14, and 28 are installed with photovoltaic power sources. The capacity is shown in Table 1.
[0090] Table 1. Node photovoltaic power supply parameters
[0091] installation location 5 14 28 Active power / kW 25 16 45 Reactive power / kvar 8 5 5
[0092] 2) Analysis of historical voltage data of distribution network
[0093] Assume that bus 1 of the system is a balanced node, and the node voltage fluctuates roughly in the range of 220-240V. According to formula (1), the preprocessed voltage sequence of node 16 in about 10 days is obtained, and then the preprocessed data is characterized by XGBoost algorithm Analysis, output the proportion of times each feature is used to split the decision tree, that is...
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