Distributed photovoltaic power generation power prediction method and system

Abstract

The invention discloses a distributed photovoltaic power generation power prediction method and system and relates to the technical field of photovoltaic power generation power prediction. The methodcomprises steps of inputting obtained current meteorological forecast data into a trained real-time meteorological data prediction model, and obtaining future meteorological real-time data corresponding to the current meteorological forecast data; inputting the future meteorological actual condition data into a trained distributed photovoltaic power generation power prediction model to obtain photovoltaic power generation power corresponding to the future meteorological actual condition data so as to realize photovoltaic power generation power ultra-short-term prediction. According to the generation power prediction method, real-time prediction of the generation power of the distributed photovoltaic power station is achieved, effective consumption of distributed photovoltaic power generation is guaranteed, and a power grid operates safely and stably after grid connection.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of photovoltaic power generation prediction technology, in particular to a distributed photovoltaic power generation power prediction method and system. Background technique [0002] In order to reduce air pollution, protect the living environment of human beings, promote the transformation of energy consumption patterns, gradually change the existing energy structure, and develop new renewable energy sources and make effective use of them, it has become an arduous task for all countries to focus on tackling key problems. From the perspective of sustainable development, renewable energy will replace traditional mineral resources and become the main energy channel of the international community in the future. At present, most countries in the world have placed renewable energy in a crucial position in the supply of future social energy. . [0003] Solar photovoltaic power generation is the fastest gr...

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Problems solved by technology

However, uncontrollable factors such as sunshine, climate, and seasons lead to the discontinuity, unpredictability, and instability of photovoltaic power generation, which seriously hinders the full consumption of new energy and causes a large-scale "light abandonment" phenomenon; The instability of power generation has brought great challenges to the smooth operation of the grid after photovoltaic grid-connected

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