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Biomass population dynamics predictive parsing worldwide general key factor presupposing array platform

A dynamic forecasting technology that is universally used globally. It is applied in the fields of electrical digital data processing, design optimization/simulation, and special data processing applications. It can solve problems such as poor timeliness of models, outliers in predicted values, and insufficient environmental information to reduce risks. performance, and the effect of improving accuracy

Inactive Publication Date: 2015-09-16
HUNAN AGRICULTURAL UNIV
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0006] The purpose of the embodiments of the present invention is to provide a global key factor preset array platform for the dynamic prediction and analysis of biological populations, aiming to solve the outlier prediction values ​​currently existing in the life population prediction science, resulting in poor prediction effect and insufficient environmental information , leading to the inability to build an effective model; often doing single factor or few factor analysis, resulting in poor timeliness of the built model

Method used

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  • Biomass population dynamics predictive parsing worldwide general key factor presupposing array platform
  • Biomass population dynamics predictive parsing worldwide general key factor presupposing array platform

Examples

Experimental program
Comparison scheme
Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0045] It is used to construct the quantitative dynamic model of various natural life groups in the world in any period of time for many years:

[0046] The UKF-PAP data set in UKF-PAP is a global common key factor group with year as the time period, so it can be used to construct a variety of measurable natural life groups (such as population birth rate, population death rate) in any region of the world , the prevalence of certain human diseases, the prevalence of crop diseases, insect pests and rodents, the dynamic forecast of global crop production, the annual occurrence dynamics of some small wild animals with multiple generations in a year, the annual growth rate of some perennial wild plants, etc.) A numerical model of the dynamics of the quantity in any period of time for many years. The so-called "any period of time in many years" means that any year can be subdivided into the whole year, quarter, month, ten days, day, etc., or any time period within the year that is c...

Embodiment 2

[0048] Key Controlled Factors and Accompanying Factors for Screening Specific Living Objects:

[0049] After statistical analysis of hundreds of cases in different countries, different regions, different species of life, different historical years and different quantitative indicators, the results show that in the UKF-PAP, although the alternative UKF-PAP factors may reach dozens of There are as many as 10,000 items, but for each specific natural life body, the key controlled factors or accompanying factors reaching a statistically significant level of p≤0.05 do not exceed 10 at most, generally 2-6, but different life organisms, or the same species of life has different controlled factors or accompanying factors in different regions or different time periods. The discovery of this rule provides users with the ability to use UKF-PAP to analyze and screen the specific controlled factors or accompanying factors of each organism, or the key factors controlled by different organism...

Embodiment 3

[0051] Analyze the common dominant factors that affect the main life forms closely related to human beings in the world or in a certain place:

[0052] All the mathematical models built with UKF-PAP have all visible and well-known simple multiple linear regression models in form. The names of PAP variables correspond to each other, so the name of each independent variable represents a key influencing factor or its combination. At the same time, in the regression coefficient list of the regression analysis results, there will be another column showing its standardized regression coefficient, and each factor selected in the regression model will have a corresponding standardized regression coefficient. The size of this standard regression coefficient is Indicates the influence of each selected factor, and the user can obtain the percentage of the relative effect of each factor only through simple mathematical operations. If the user has modeled a variety of life forms, he only ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a biomass population dynamics predictive parsing worldwide general key factor presupposing array platform. Mass of standard environment factor arrays are preset, the world population dynamic prediction users select content fit for own country or local areas to construct an accurate specified area and specific biological population dynamics statistical prediction model through an Internet user registration system in real time, accurate quantitative forecast is conducted on related biological future trends conveniently, each preset datum is positioned by row variable coordinates and column variable coordinates, each positioned independent datum cannot transpose with one another, the row variable coordinates serve as time coordinates, and the column variable coordinates serve as space coordinates. The problems that in current life population prediction an effective prediction models of a plurality of important biological population cannot be constructed, or the prediction effect of the constructed models is poor, or the application range is narrow due to the fact that users cannot obtain enough effective environment information quantity are solved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of dynamic prediction of natural life groups, and in particular relates to a pre-set array platform of global key factors for dynamic prediction and analysis of biological populations. Background technique [0002] There are currently three major problems in life population prediction: [0003] (1) The predicted value is outlier, resulting in poor prediction effect. In the past, when people performed biological population prediction analysis, there were always some predicted values ​​that were far from the measured values ​​(that is, the predicted values ​​were outliers), resulting in poor prediction results. [0004] (2) The amount of environmental information is insufficient, resulting in the inability to build an effective model. In the past, people tended to only pay attention to the correlation between the same period and nearby things, while ignoring the correlation between the past and distant things, which m...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F19/00
CPCG16H50/50Y02A90/10G06F30/20
Inventor 文礼章文雅峰文意纯杨中侠谭伟文韩永强
Owner HUNAN AGRICULTURAL UNIV
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