Fitting method and system for time distribution characteristics of meteorological disaster faults of power transmission line
A technology for transmission lines and meteorological disasters, which is applied in the field of time distribution characteristics fitting, can solve problems such as difficult peak-valley cycles, poor fitting effect of multi-peak periodic curves, complex time distribution characteristics of transmission lines, etc. The effect of a trip accident
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Embodiment 1
[0045] See figure 1 , The fitting method of the time distribution feature of the meteorological disaster fault of the transmission line of this embodiment. include:
[0046] S1: Obtain the frequency distribution of the failure rate sequence of meteorological disasters. That is, the monthly distribution of the number of transmission line trips in a certain area in the historical period is the object, and the frequency distribution of the meteorological disaster failure rate of the transmission line in different months is calculated.
[0047] Obtain the frequency distribution of the meteorological disaster failure rate sequence: Divide the meteorological disaster failure rate sequence of the transmission line in the area into 12 intervals on a monthly basis, and count the numbers falling in each month to obtain the line trip time sequence ΔP in the kth month k The frequency distribution of the transmission line, the frequency distribution function f(x) of the meteorological disaster ...
Embodiment 2
[0082] This embodiment is an application of Embodiment 1. This embodiment takes the 220kV and above transmission line fault events related to the meteorological environment in Hunan Power Grid during the seven years from 2010 to 2017 as a sample, and uses the fitting method of the time distribution characteristics of the transmission line meteorological disaster fault of embodiment 1 to perform the function expression The failure rate is assumed to be month-to-month time distribution, and then function parameter fitting is performed.
Embodiment 3
[0088] This embodiment provides a computer system, including a memory, a processor, and a computer program stored in the memory and capable of running on the processor, and the processor implements the steps of any of the foregoing embodiments when the processor executes the computer program.
[0089] To sum up, in order to facilitate the analysis of the failure rate of the meteorological disasters of the transmission line, the present invention starts from the periodic characteristics of the impact of weather on the power grid, and calculates the failure rate of the transmission line based on the failure events of the same month in the past years, and obtains the failure rate samples of each month. Based on the introduction of the cloud model feature fitting analysis method, the frequency distribution of the monthly failure rate sequence of the transmission line is decomposed into several cloud models with normal distribution, so as to realize the conversion from quantitative expr...
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