Reliability optimization method of distributed power supply system
A technology of power supply system and optimization method, which is applied in the direction of instruments, data processing applications, prediction, etc.
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[0037]The present invention mainly considers the random uncertainty of the load prediction value and the fuzzy uncertainty of the output of the renewable energy DG. The load prediction value is represented by a random variable with a normal distribution, and the active power output of the renewable energy DG is represented by a trapezoidal fuzzy variable. A hybrid chance-constrained programming model based on reliability optimization is established with the minimum expected value of the sum of investment and operation costs and power outage compensation costs of distributed power supply system as the objective function.
[0038] The specific implementation steps are as follows:
[0039] (1) Use random variables to represent the load forecast value:
[0040] According to the characteristics of the load forecast value, the normal distribution random variable is used to represent the load forecast value. For example, the predicted load of the known time period t is , the actua...
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