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Feature extraction hydrological forecasting method based on deep learning

A hydrological forecasting and deep learning technology, applied in neural learning methods, forecasting, data processing applications, etc., can solve problems such as low forecasting accuracy and short forecast period

Active Publication Date: 2019-12-27
BUREAU OF HYDROLOGY CHANGJIANG WATER RESOURCES COMMISSION
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Problems solved by technology

[0006] The purpose of the present invention is to address the above-mentioned deficiencies in the prior art and provide a method for hydrological forecasting based on deep learning feature extraction, thereby solving the problem of short forecast period and low forecasting accuracy in hydrological forecasting using traditional hydrological forecasting models and methods. lower question

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  • Feature extraction hydrological forecasting method based on deep learning
  • Feature extraction hydrological forecasting method based on deep learning
  • Feature extraction hydrological forecasting method based on deep learning

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Embodiment 1

[0133] Now take a hydrological station in the Yangtze River Basin as an example to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the method of the present invention. In Embodiment 1 of the present invention, the month and the day are used as the scale, and the flow rate is the forecast object. First, the method of the present invention is used for physical cause analysis, correlation analysis and Significance test to obtain the set of hydrological forecast characteristic factors of the hydrological station. Then use the data mining algorithm described by the method of the present invention to train for the set of hydrological forecast characteristic factors, and obtain a set of flood process sets with similar "magnitude" and "process form" under the action of different factors, as shown in Fig. 2 (a)- (c).

[0134] At the same time, with the month as the scale, the method of the present invention is used to simulate and forecast the multi-year runoff process, and the forecast r...

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Abstract

The invention provides a feature extraction hydrological forecasting method based on deep learning, and belongs to the field of water resource efficient utilization and hydrological forecasting. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, obtaining a watershed hydrological forecasting characteristic factor set by utilizing watershed historical information; secondly, training the characteristic factor set by utilizing a data mining algorithm, and obtaining a plurality of groups of session flood process sets with similar magnitudes and process forms under the action of different factors;then, carrying out parameter calibration of all models and methods in traditional hydrological forecasting based on a deep learning algorithm, forming a model library and a method library matched withthe models, the methods and parameter schemes, and finally completing hydrological forecasting calculation in combination with clustering analysis. Compared with an existing method, the method has the advantages that the defects that a traditional hydrological forecasting method is low in forecasting precision, short in effective forecasting period and the like are effectively overcome, the forecasting precision can be obviously improved and the forecasting period can be obviously prolonged when hydrological forecasting is carried out, good applicability and feasibility are achieved, and an effective technical method is provided for basin hydrological forecasting.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the fields of efficient utilization of water resources and hydrological forecasting, and more specifically, a method for feature extraction and hydrological forecasting based on deep learning. Background technique [0002] Hydrological forecasting is not only an important technical support for flood and drought disaster prevention, but also an important means for reservoir scheduling and efficient resource utilization. There are many models and methods related to hydrological forecasting, most of which can reflect some basic laws of hydrology. However, due to the limited understanding of hydrometeorological phenomena in river basins and the intricate changes in natural laws, traditional models and methods are difficult to fully reflect objective laws, such as statistical forecasting. The method usually faces the problem of insufficient consideration of the physical meaning, while the land-atmosphere coupling method often has th...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06K9/62G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06Q10/04G06N3/084G06N3/08G06N3/045G06F18/23G06F18/22Y02A10/40
Inventor 程海云闵要武冯宝飞陈瑜彬牛文静李玉荣许银山张俊秦昊张潇曾明张涛
Owner BUREAU OF HYDROLOGY CHANGJIANG WATER RESOURCES COMMISSION
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