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An atmospheric waveguide set forecasting method based on YSU scheme key parameter disturbance

A technology of key parameters and ensemble forecasting, which is applied in weather forecasting, forecasting, meteorology, etc., and can solve problems such as physical parameters without models, disturbances, etc.

Pending Publication Date: 2019-04-23
NAT UNIV OF DEFENSE TECH
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] The purpose of the present invention is to provide an atmospheric duct ensemble prediction method based on the key parameter disturbance of the YSU boundary layer scheme, in order to solve the problem that there is no targeted model physical parameter disturbance method in the field of atmospheric duct ensemble forecasting

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  • An atmospheric waveguide set forecasting method based on YSU scheme key parameter disturbance
  • An atmospheric waveguide set forecasting method based on YSU scheme key parameter disturbance
  • An atmospheric waveguide set forecasting method based on YSU scheme key parameter disturbance

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Embodiment Construction

[0022] In order to better understand the technical content of the present invention, specific embodiments are given together with the attached drawings for description as follows.

[0023] Aspects of the invention are described in this disclosure with reference to the accompanying drawings, which show a number of illustrated embodiments. Embodiments of the present disclosure are not necessarily intended to include all aspects of the invention. It should be appreciated that the various concepts and embodiments described above, as well as those described in more detail below, can be implemented in any of numerous ways, since the concepts and embodiments disclosed herein are not limited to any implementation. In addition, some aspects of the present disclosure may be used alone or in any suitable combination with other aspects of the present disclosure.

[0024] The atmospheric duct ensemble prediction method based on the key parameter disturbance of the YSU boundary layer sche...

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Abstract

An atmospheric waveguide set forecasting method based on YSU scheme key parameter disturbance comprises the following steps of 1) selecting a regional numerical weather forecasting mode, and setting amode boundary layer parameterization scheme as a YSU scheme; 2) taking a morphological parameter pfac in the YSU boundary layer parameterization scheme as a key parameter, and setting a parameter value range and an interval; 3) calculating the number of members in the set according to the value range and interval of the key parameter pfac; 4) disturbing the key parameter pfac according to the value range and interval of the key parameter pfac, compiling a numerical weather forecast mode for each pfac value, and taking the compiled executable file number as one of the set members; 5) obtainingthe atmospheric waveguide set forecasting mode member based on the key parameter disturbance of the YSU boundary layer scheme after all disturbance members of pfac are compiled, and 6) utilizing theset forecasting mode member obtained in the previous step to carry out atmospheric waveguide simulation and forecasting.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of numerical weather forecasting, and in particular relates to an atmospheric waveguide ensemble forecasting method based on disturbance of key parameters of the YSU boundary layer scheme. Background technique [0002] Atmospheric waveguide is due to the presence of inversion temperature and (or) water vapor in the troposphere with a layer that decreases sharply with height, so that electromagnetic waves form trapping refraction in this layer. The detection of atmospheric ducts mainly depends on high vertical resolution sounding data, such as GPS sounding and low-altitude sounding rocket data. However, these sounding data are released at a single point after all. Although the vertical resolution is better than that of various reanalysis data, the horizontal resolution is still too sparse to fully reproduce the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of the waveguide. Therefore, the use of mesoscale m...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G01W1/10
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/26G01W1/10
Inventor 黄小刚程小平费建芳丁菊丽梁志超
Owner NAT UNIV OF DEFENSE TECH
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