Method and system for day-ahead generation schedule establishment of energy base system
A power generation planning and base technology, applied in the direction of wind power generation, system integration technology, information technology support system, etc.
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[0061] The present invention will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments.
[0062] The present invention first utilizes the BP neural network algorithm optimized by the PSO algorithm (i.e. the PSO-BP algorithm) to predict the wind power with certainty, and on this basis, uses a non-parametric regression model to perform interval prediction of the wind power, and adopts the method of scene analysis to consider wind power. Uncertainty of output, and use the two-dimensional scene optimization method based on the daily change dimension and hour change dimension to reduce the scene, so as to ensure the richness of the optimized scene and the accuracy of the final result. A day-ahead power generation planning model that includes wind power forecast information and DC regulation costs is constructed to improve the wind power absorptive capacity of the energy base system and provide suggestions for the formulation of the day-ahead pow...
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