Medical prognosis and prediction of treatment response using multiple cellular signaling pathway activities
A cell signal and pathway technology, applied in informatics, bioinformatics, medical informatics, etc.
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Embodiment 1
[0148] Example 1: Inferring the activity of two or more cell signaling pathways
[0149] As detailed in the published international patent application WO 2013 / 011479 A2 (“Assessment of cellular signaling pathway activity using probabilistic modeling of target gene expression”), by constructing a probabilistic model, for example, a Bayesian model, and introducing many different target genes The conditional probabilistic relationship between the expression level of β and the activity of the cell signaling pathway, this model can be used to determine the activity of the cell signaling pathway with high precision. Furthermore, probabilistic models can be easily upgraded to incorporate additional knowledge gained through late-stage clinical studies by adjusting conditional probabilities and / or adding new nodes to the model to represent additional sources of information. In this way, the probabilistic model can be appropriately updated to include recent medical knowledge.
[0150] ...
Embodiment 2
[0271] Example 2: Determining Risk Score
[0272] In general, a number of different formulas can be devised for determining a risk score indicative of the risk that a subject will experience a clinical event within a defined time period and based on a combination of inferred activities of two or more cell signaling pathways in the subject, namely:
[0273] MPS = F ( P i ) + X ,in i = 1... N , (3)
[0274] in MPS Denotes a risk score (the term " MPS ” is used herein as an abbreviation for “multi-pathway score” in order to indicate that the risk score is influenced by the putative activity of two or more cell signaling pathways), P i Indicates cell signaling pathways i activity, N represents the total number of cell signaling pathways used to calculate the risk score, and X are placeholders for possible further factors and / or parameters that may enter into the equation. Such formulas may more specifically be polynomials of some degree in a given variable, or l...
Embodiment 3
[0316] Example 3: CDS application
[0317] refer to Figure 11 (Graphically showing a clinical decision support (CDS) system configured to determine a risk score indicating the risk that a subject will experience a clinical event within a determined time period, as disclosed herein), the clinical decision support (CDS) system 10 as a suitably configured computer 12 realized. Computer 12 may be configured to operate CDS system 10 by executing suitable software, firmware, or other instructions stored on a non-transitory storage medium (not shown), such as a hard drive or other magnetic storage medium , an optical disk or another optical storage medium, random access memory (RAM), read only memory (ROM), flash memory, or another electronic storage medium, a network server, or the like. Although the illustrative CDS system 10 is embodied by the illustrative computer 12, more generally, the CDS system may be embodied by a digital processing device or instrument comprising a digit...
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