A short-term earthquake prediction method and device

Abstract

The embodiment of the present invention discloses a short-term earthquake prediction method and device to solve the problem in the existing technology that most short-term predictions are based on empirical predictions and lack a complete scientific basis. They mainly focus on the seismic trend of earthquakes and lack the three elements of earthquakes. Numerical quantitative prediction makes it difficult to accurately predict the occurrence of earthquakes in the short term, which leads to the problem of being unable to provide timely and accurate reference suggestions for earthquake disaster reduction work. This method uses a large amount of historical earthquake record data, combined with the analysis of geological structure characteristics, and comprehensively uses data mining and machine learning methods from the two dimensions of time and space to predict the region and its earthquake-related spatio-temporal correlation in the next month. Predict earthquakes within the region, thereby providing a reference for earthquake disaster reduction work in various regions.

Description

Technical field [0001] The embodiment of the present invention relates to the technical field of earthquake prediction methods, in particular to a short-term earthquake prediction method and device. Background technique [0002] An earthquake is a natural phenomenon, but also a geological disaster. Its destructive power is extremely strong, causing huge casualties and economic losses to human society. Due to the complicated process of earthquake preparation and occurrence, and the undetectable nature of the earth's interior, earthquake prediction is still a worldwide problem. [0003] my country is located at the junction of the Eurasian plate, the Pacific plate and the Indian Ocean plate. Therefore, my country is one of the world's most earthquake-prone countries. In recent years, my country has successively experienced a series of strong earthquakes: the Yushu M7.1 earthquake in Qinghai in 2010, the Lushan M7.0 earthquake in Sichuan in 2013, the Yutian M7.3 earthquake in Xinjia...

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Problems solved by technology

[0005] In order to realize the short-term earthquake prediction function, the embodiment of the present invention provides a short-term earthquake prediction method and device to solve the problem that most short-term predictions in the prior art are based on empirical predictions and lack a complete scientific basis, mainly focusing on the occurrence of earthquakes. Due to the lack of numerical and quantitative prediction of the three elements of earthquakes, it is difficult to accurately predict the occurrence of earthquakes in the short term, which leads to the problem of not being able to provide accurate reference suggestions for earthquake disaster reduction in time

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