Situation dynamic prediction method based on parallel simulation

Abstract

The invention discloses a situation dynamic prediction method based on parallel simulation. The method comprises a parallel simulation evaluation and prediction framework construction step, a simulation model dynamic construction and correction step, a situation simulation deduction complexity control step and a situation element dynamic analysis and prediction step. A multi-resolution simulation model is established by adopting parameterized and modular modeling technologies; through a discrete event simulation mechanism and a distributed parallel simulation technology, an artificial simulation system corresponding to an actual information system is designed and constructed, simulation situation deduction is carried out in the artificial system, and simulation, analysis, control and prediction are carried out on the actual system through parallel operation, evolution approximation and feedback control of the artificial system and the actual system. Through deduction and feedback of the artificial system based on the parallel simulation technology, the problem that the confidence coefficient is not high when an actual information system conducts situation prediction on complex and dynamic social behaviors is solved, and the timeliness and scientificity of management, control and decision making of the actual system are improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of computer simulation, and in particular relates to a method for dynamic situation prediction of various social behaviors with high complexity, great uncertainty, strong timeliness, many factors and fast changes by using a method of parallel simulation. Background technique [0002] Parallel simulation is a computer simulation technology, which is the application of parallel system theory in the field of computer simulation. Its basic characteristics are virtual-real symbiosis and model dynamic evolution, and there is interaction and response between the simulation system and the simulation object (that is, the real-world object or system). [0003] A parallel system refers to a common system composed of a natural real system and one or more corresponding virtual or ideal artificial systems. Parallel simulation technology aims to use the simulation modeling theory of complex systems to construct an artificial system ...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0012] The main purpose of the present invention is to solve the problem of low confidence when engineering actual information systems predict complex and dynamic social behaviors. The artificial simulation system for a specific field, such as urban traffic management, social emergency handling, combat auxiliary decision-making, rocket satellite navigation and other fields, receives various data information from the above-mentioned actual information system, and conducts simulation in the artificial simulation system. The rapid deduction of multi-branch parallel simulation calculations, through the parallel operation, evolutionary approximation and feedback control of the artificial simulation system and the actual information system, can improve the credibility of the actual information system for complex and dynamic social behaviors.

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