A method of automatically generating a transaction policy over a time series

A time-series, automatic generation technology, applied in the field of financial technology, can solve a large number of labor costs and other problems, achieve the effect of reducing workload and improving research efficiency

Pending Publication Date: 2019-05-03
周鸣籁
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  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

Therefore, researching both machine learning-based trading strategies and rule-based trading strategies requires a lot of human cost

Method used

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  • A method of automatically generating a transaction policy over a time series
  • A method of automatically generating a transaction policy over a time series
  • A method of automatically generating a transaction policy over a time series

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Experimental program
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Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0045] Such as figure 1 , this embodiment provides a mechanism for automatically generating a time series-based trading strategy based on machine learning:

[0046] (1) Establish a factor library and determine the use of a neural network model.

[0047] (2) Given that the target is the one-hour line of the Shanghai Composite Index, first randomly select 5 factors X from the factor library 1，1， , X 1，2 , X 1，3 , X 1，4 , X 1，5, which are MA (real, time period), head and shoulders pattern (open, high, low, close), MA (real, time period), price change rate (close), ATR (high, low, close, time period). After the factor is instantiated, it is MA (close, timeperiod=5), head and shoulders pattern (open, high, low, close), MA (open, timeperiod=10), price change rate (close), ATR (high, low, close, timeperiod=8); Randomly select a prediction target factor Y 1 is SharpeRatio(close, timeperiod). After instantiation, it is SharpeRatio(close, timeperiod=4).

[0048] MA factor: real...

Embodiment 2

[0077] Such as image 3 , this embodiment provides a mechanism for automatically generating a rule-based trading strategy on time series:

[0078] (1) Establish factor library.

[0079] (2) Given the one-hour line of the Shanghai Composite Index, first randomly select 5 factors X from the factor library 1，1， , X 1，2 , X 1，3 , X 1，4 , X 1，5 , which are MA (real, time period), head and shoulders pattern (open, high, low, close), MA (real, time period), price change rate (close), ATR (high, low, close, time period). After the factor is instantiated, it is MA (close, timeperiod=5), head and shoulders pattern (open, high, low, close), MA (open, timeperiod=10), price change rate (close), ATR (high, low, close, timeperiod=8).

[0080] MA factor: real is an unspecified vector, which can randomly take values ​​such as open, high, low, close, volume, amount, etc. timeperiod is an unspecified scalar of int type, so an int value is taken randomly. The output value of the MA facto...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a method for automatically generating a transaction strategy on a time sequence. K groups of factors are randomly extracted from the factor library, machine learning or rule-based mapping from m factors to transaction signals is randomly generated for each group of factors, and back testing is carried out, so that k groups of machine learning-based transaction strategies or rule-based transaction strategies are generated; iteratively evolving the k groups of transaction strategies to finally obtain a transaction strategy meeting expected revenue risk requirements. Through iterative evolution, various transaction strategies meeting the expected revenue risk requirements of the user can be generated, and the workload of transaction strategy researchers is reduced; alocal optimal solution of the factor combination can be mined for reference of researchers; the problem of insufficient fund capacity of a single transaction strategy can be solved by generating transaction strategies on a large scale in batches; meanwhile, a transaction strategy with low correlation with an original transaction strategy can be generated, and the stability of fund income is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method for automatically generating a trading strategy on a time series, which belongs to the field of financial technology. Background technique [0002] Quantitative investment refers to a trading method that issues buying and selling orders through quantitative methods and computer programming to obtain stable returns. In a broad sense, quantitative investment can be divided into relative value transactions and directional transactions in time series. Traditionally distinguished by method, directional trading on time series can be divided into machine learning-based trading strategies and rule-based trading strategies. [0003] In machine learning-based methods, researchers first identify groups of factors (called features in the field of machine learning) and their corresponding factor parameters, a predictive target factor (such as the price change in the next hour or the next day, or the Sharpe ratio) and Its correspo...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q40/06G06Q40/04G06Q10/06G06N3/08G06N3/00
Inventor 周鸣籁
Owner 周鸣籁
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