Prediction model for incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome

A prediction model, a technology for renal syndrome, used in epidemic alert systems, medical informatics, informatics, etc.

Inactive Publication Date: 2018-03-16
李青
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Problems solved by technology

[0003] In order to overcome the problem of the prediction model of the incidence rate of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in the prior art, the present invention provides a prediction model of the incidence rate of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome

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  • Prediction model for incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome

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Embodiment Construction

[0006] (1) Randomly select representative monitoring habitats for the onset of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome; (2) According to the requirements of the "National Surveillance Program for Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (Trial)", this survey adopts the " "Golden Cat" brand mouse trap, the size is 120mm×60mm. Every 10m in the residential room by the night method 2 Cloth clip 1, more than 10m 2 Two cloth clips are required; outdoors, one standard cloth clip is used at a distance of 5m and a row spacing of 50m. Peanuts were uniformly used as bait, and the captured mice were numbered, and the experienced professional and technical personnel in the microbiological laboratory of the Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention used aseptic methods to take out the mouse lungs and blood respectively, and sent them immediately The Microbiology Laboratory of Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention used immunofluorescence method to detect he...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a prediction model for the incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, which belongs to the medical field. The steps are as follows: selecting a monitoring habitat, catching rats, calculating the poison index of rats, calculating the incidence of population, and building a prediction model. The problem that there is no prediction model for the incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in the prior art is solved. A method for accurately predicting the incidence regularity of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome is found by making direct use of a linearregression equation built based on the poison index of rats and the people's incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, and a scientific basis is provided for the prevention and control of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a disease prediction model, in particular to a prediction model for the incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome. Background technique [0002] Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome is a natural foci disease caused by hantavirus, the main host animal is rodents, and it is also one of the natural foci diseases that seriously threaten the life and health of people in the epidemic area . According to reports, more than 70 countries on the five continents (Asia, America, Europe, Africa, and Oceania) have found cases of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, but the cases are still mainly concentrated in the Eurasian continental plate. 90% of the cases of hemorrhagic fever are mainly concentrated in China. Through the analysis of the rat carrier index data among rats with hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome from 2005 to 2015 and the changes in the incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in humans, we will dis...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G16H50/80
Inventor 李青
Owner 李青
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