Method for predicting annual power consumption based on elastic coefficient
A technology of elastic coefficient and prediction method, applied in prediction, data processing applications, instruments, etc., can solve the problems of large fluctuation of electric elastic coefficient, difficult to predict accurately, and large fluctuation of elastic coefficient, so as to achieve reliable prediction results and improve accuracy. , the effect of high accuracy
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[0033] In the following, the specific implementation of an annual electricity forecasting method based on the elastic coefficient of the present invention will be described by taking the forecasting process of the electricity consumption of the whole society in the target year of Anhui Province as an example.
[0034] Such as figure 2 Shown is the trend chart of power elasticity coefficient calculated based on current prices in Anhui Province from 1992 to 2012. It can be seen that the power elasticity coefficient of Anhui Province has fluctuated greatly since 1992. The highest was 1.52 in 2003, and the lowest In 1998, it was -0.17. This is because the growth rate of electricity consumption in the whole society in 1998 was negative. After 1998, the power elasticity coefficient maintained an upward trend, and began to decline slowly after 2003, showing an overall upward trend.
[0035] From 1995 to 1998, Anhui Province responded to the "Ninth Five-Year Plan" and focused on adj...
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