New energy electricity price prediction method and system
A forecasting method and new energy technology, applied in forecasting, information technology support systems, electrical components, etc., can solve the company's problems such as reduced profits, losses, and low forecasting accuracy, and achieve the goals of saving workload, ensuring profits, and ensuring reliability. Effect
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Embodiment 1
[0062] The present invention is a new energy electricity price prediction method, comprising the following steps:
[0063] A new energy electricity price prediction method, comprising the following steps:
[0064] Step 1: Obtain the supply and demand data for the date to be predicted in the market where the new energy company is located. The supply and demand data include thermal power, hydropower, new energy and other power sources. Select the supply and demand data of different working days and holidays, use the data as the data source, set the minimum value of thermal power in the data source as A, the adjustable value of thermal power as B, the planned value of hydropower generation as C, and the planned value of new energy forecasting Set it as D, set the value of other power types as E, and set the load space of the entire market as M.
[0065] Divide a day into 96 time points, obtain the supply and demand data of 96 time points in a day to form a supply and demand matr...
Embodiment 2
[0109] A new energy electricity price prediction system in the present invention is used to implement the new energy electricity price prediction method in Embodiment 1, including
[0110] Supply and demand matrix acquisition module: acquire the supply and demand data of each power supply type, and obtain the supply and demand matrix L according to the supply and demand data;
[0111] Matrix correction module: perform weighted correction on the supply and demand matrix L to obtain a new supply and demand matrix N
[0112] Bidding space calculation module: calculate the bidding space according to the new supply and demand matrix N;
[0113] Electricity price prediction module: match the historical bidding space according to the bidding space, and obtain the forecasted electricity price
[0114] Classify the historical market electricity price data according to the time points. The classification rules are: according to the season and the time point of the day; first obtain the...
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