Management and control method and system for aviation operation control risk

Abstract

The invention provides a management and control method and system for an aviation operation control risk. The method comprises the following steps that: obtaining the risk factor information of a flight to be predicted; inputting the risk factor information of the flight to be predicted into a pre-established flight risk prediction model to obtain the risk prediction value of the flight to be predicted, wherein the flight risk prediction model is determined according to the risk factor information of the flight in multiple pieces of historical data and the expert risk score of the flight in each piece of historical data; and if the risk prediction value of the flight to be predicted is greater than a preset risk threshold value, carrying out risk management and control on the flight to bepredicted. By use of the method and the system, historical flight data and expert experience can be fully utilized so as to more accurately evaluate the flight risk in time.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of risk early warning, in particular to a risk management and control method and system for aviation operation control. Background technique [0002] The risk assessment of flight operation control is an important part of the flight dispatch work of airlines, and there are many types of risk factors involved in the assessment, the number is huge, and the analysis is difficult. At present, the domestic commercial aviation industry is in a stage of rapid growth, but the risk assessment of flight operation control still needs to rely on the dispatcher's personal experience and sensitivity to risks, and there is no relevant reference standard for correction, especially when the external conditions change rapidly and various factors Overlapping and other situations are not conducive to making accurate, timely and objective risk assessments. At the same time, for the identified risks, risk mitigation is still bas...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

The form of the above-mentioned model is too single, mainly focusing on hierarchical risk calculation, and the establishment of the expert experience system is not comprehensive and true. However, the application of historical data of dangerous events ignores the randomness of event occurrence, and does not fully consider the risk factors themselves. It is not conducive to obtaining accurate risk assessment results

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