Comprehensive urban distribution network saturated load forecasting method
A comprehensive forecasting and load forecasting technology, applied in forecasting, instrumentation, data processing applications, etc., can solve problems such as difficult forecasting, many influencing factors, and large time span of saturated load forecasting
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[0036] Below in conjunction with accompanying drawing and embodiment, the present invention will be further described:
[0037] like figure 1 As shown, along with the development of the economy and the improvement of living standards, after a period of rapid growth of power load, it enters a stage of slow and gentle growth until it reaches a maximum value, at which time the corresponding load is the saturated load. According to the development law of urban power load at home and abroad, the growth trend of load shows an "S" shape.
[0038] The traditional prediction methods of saturated load mainly include the following:
[0039] 1. Electric Elasticity Coefficient Method
[0040] The proportional relationship between the development speed of the electric power industry and the national economy is usually expressed by the electricity elasticity coefficient. The so-called electricity elasticity coefficient refers to the ratio of the average annual growth rate of electricity c...
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